Crafts · The Falchion Collection
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The Falchion Collection + The Radiant Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted About the craft Craft 1974982 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +164.99₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the needed wear, regardless of float. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase. 435.97₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 600.96₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +37.8%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 62%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 1 071.86₽ · profit at most −470.91₽ (−43.9%) · chance of profit at most 0%

The estimate is made from the market at the time of the nightly check. Since then cheap listings with the needed float may have been bought or relisted. The «Check floats on Steam» button shows the current price.

The float window is very narrow: less than 30% of the wear range fits. The markup was not measured for such a case. The purchase will cost at least the stated number of times more. How much more is unknown, so the investment is shown as “at least” and the profit as “at most”.
UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) × 1 9% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 69.00 → 149.04 ₽
SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Minimal Wear) × 8 9% of the wear range fits at least ×2.59 302.72 → 784.04 ₽
M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) × 1 9% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 64.25 → 138.78 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
+ a third collection

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

9% of lots fit ≈ enough for 2 contracts · medium (estimate)

Price understated: Only 9% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×1
UMP-45 | Riot
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0063
69.00 ₽
at 69.00
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006382f′ (normalized) 0.009118wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 174 · good ≈ 12
on the market with this float, usually ~14, new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 215.09 ₽ · little data, days: 1
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 177) · data 09.10 14:48 MSK
×8
SSG 08 | Blush Pour
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0772
302.72 ₽
at 37.84
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.077294f′ (normalized) 0.113931wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 418 · good ≈ 23
on the market with this float, usually ~24, new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 64.67 ₽
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 111 · from 50.27 ₽ (float 0.0758) · craft not before 17.10 · data 09.10 14:48 MSK
×1
M4A1-S | Rose Hex
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0063
64.25 ₽
at 64.25
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006382f′ (normalized) 0.012765wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 877 · good ≈ 19
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new listings per day: fewer than one · among lots up to 172.50 ₽
Lis-Skins: suitable 5 of 382 · from 262.42 ₽ (float 0.0034) · craft not before 17.10 · data 09.10 14:48 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 435.97 ₽ +164.99 (+37.8%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.093333233 result 0.070000, 0.062533, 0.056000, 0.056000, 0.093333, 0.048533, 0.046667, 0.187600 «No higher than» is a guarantee. Take every item with the float at the upper limit and you get exactly the result shown.

What you get 8 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 32%
  • Losing outcome 6%
  • About break-even 62%
in profit
best
Desert Eagle | Mulberry
Factory New
1 175.00 ₽ 30.00%
Steam Desert Eagle | Mulberry (Factory New)net 1 021.74 ₽ you get 0.070000The Radiant Collection sells about 268 a week (data for 6 days of 7)) sell now to a buy order: 1 272.75 ₽ (you get 1 106.73 ₽)) · buy orders: 9624 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 009.05 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 106.42 · lots 27 on CSFloat: from 967.03 ₽ listings: 318 on CS.Money: ~ 1 078.65 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 950.84 ₽ listings: 314
about break-even
M4A1-S | Glitched Paint
Factory New
489.99 ₽ 30.00%
Steam M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New)net 426.08 ₽ you get 0.062533The Radiant Collection sells 382 a week no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 436.53 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 478.66 · lots 45 on CSFloat: from 409.82 ₽ listings: 350 on CS.Money: ~ 415.78 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 411.52 ₽ listings: 650
about break-even
USP-S | Bleeding Edge
Factory New
508.00 ₽ 30.00%
Steam USP-S | Bleeding Edge (Factory New)net 441.74 ₽ you get 0.056000The Radiant Collection sells 390 a week no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 405.84 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 445.00 · lots 21 on CSFloat: from 391.93 ₽ listings: 276 on CS.Money: ~ 450.71 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 397.04 ₽ listings: 379
about break-even
FAMAS | Neural Net
Factory New
495.66 ₽ 2.00%
Steam FAMAS | Neural Net (Factory New)net 431.01 ₽ you get 0.056000 sells 22 a week sell now to a buy order: 558.44 ₽ (you get 485.60 ₽)) · buy orders: 9026 sell on Market.CSGO: 428.14 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 469.46 · lots 76 on CSFloat: from 382.55 ₽ listings: 121 on CS.Money: ~ 426.01 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 418.34 ₽ listings: 267
at a loss
P2000 | Handgun
Minimal Wear
175.75 ₽ 2.00%
Steam P2000 | Handgun (Minimal Wear)net 152.83 ₽ you get 0.093333 sells 86 a week sell now to a buy order: 173.08 ₽ (you get 150.50 ₽)) · buy orders: 7068 sell on Market.CSGO: 133.80 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 146.72 · lots 20 on CSFloat: from 128.65 ₽ listings: 92 on CS.Money: ~ 115.87 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 134.62 ₽ listings: 72
in profit
M4A4 | Evil Daimyo
Factory New
784.55 ₽ 2.00%
Steam M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Factory New)net 682.22 ₽ you get 0.048533 sells 162 a week sell now to a buy order: 810.89 ₽ (you get 705.12 ₽)) · buy orders: 15649 sell on Market.CSGO: 645.74 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 708.05 · lots 59 on CSFloat: from 618.56 ₽ listings: 535 on CS.Money: ~ 696.09 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 615.15 ₽ listings: 789
at a loss
MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart
Factory New
414.09 ₽ 2.00%
Steam MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New)net 360.08 ₽ you get 0.046667 sells 91 a week sell now to a buy order: 480.03 ₽ (you get 417.41 ₽)) · buy orders: 15545 sell on Market.CSGO: 361.70 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 396.61 · lots 34 on CSFloat: from 362.96 ₽ listings: 211 on CS.Money: ~ 369.77 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 362.96 ₽ listings: 251
at a loss
worst
Negev | Loudmouth
Field-Tested
90.16 ₽ 2.00%
Steam Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested)net 78.40 ₽ you get 0.187600 sells 239 a week sell now to a buy order: 87.97 ₽ (you get 76.49 ₽)) · buy orders: 17976 sell on Market.CSGO: 67.22 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 73.71 · lots 37 on CSFloat: from 85.20 ₽ listings: 81 on CS.Money: ~ 68.16 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 69.01 ₽ listings: 138

Craft variants Craft variants One of this craft's two collections paired with another collection, same rarity. Click a variant to open its page with all the numbers. The variants may include a craft at a small loss: no more than 15% of the investment, if its most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee and that outcome's price is confirmed by sales.

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Radiant Collection
Variant 2 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Radiant Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Radiant Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Glove Collection instead of The Radiant Collection Variant 6 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Falchion Collection
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