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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +680.26₽

Invest 1 119.31₽

Average return 1 799.57₽

ROI +60.8%

Chance of profit 36%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 2 754.35₽ · profit at most −954.78₽ (−34.7%) · chance of profit at most 32%

The estimate is made from the market at the time of the nightly check. Since then cheap listings with the needed float may have been bought or relisted. The «Check floats on Steam» button shows the current price.

The float window is very narrow: less than 30% of the wear range fits. The markup was not measured for such a case. The purchase will cost at least the stated number of times more. How much more is unknown, so the investment is shown as “at least” and the profit as “at most”.

P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear) × 3 7% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 126.96 → 286.93 ₽

MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New) × 6 7% of the wear range fits at least ×2.51 925.56 → 2 323.16 ₽

M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested) × 1 7% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 66.79 → 144.27 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

+ a third collection

How to build

7% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 7% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×3

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

126.96 ₽

at 42.32

Steam

×6

MP5-SD | Co-Processor

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

925.56 ₽

at 154.26

Steam

×1

M249 | Warbird

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1653

66.79 ₽

at 66.79

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 119.31 ₽ +680.26 (+60.8%)

profit on prices without sales at least −415 ₽

7% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 7% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×2

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

84.64 ₽

at 42.32

Steam

×1

Nova | Plume

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

160.92 ₽

at 160.92

Steam

×7

M249 | Warbird

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

1 257.90 ₽

at 179.70

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 503.46 ₽ +402.01 (+26.7%)

profit on prices without sales at least −498 ₽

7% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 7% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×1

MP5-SD | Co-Processor

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

154.26 ₽

at 154.26

Steam

×2

M249 | Warbird

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1666

133.58 ₽

at 66.79

Steam

×7

M249 | Warbird

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

1 257.90 ₽

at 179.70

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 545.74 ₽ +374.86 (+24.2%)

profit on prices without sales at least −120 ₽

6% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 6% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×5

MP5-SD | Co-Processor

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

771.30 ₽

at 154.26

Steam

×3

M249 | Warbird

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1644

200.37 ₽

at 66.79

Steam

×2

M249 | Warbird

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

359.40 ₽

at 179.70

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 331.07 ₽ +529.01 (+39.7%)

6% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 6% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×2

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

84.64 ₽

at 42.32

Steam

×6

MP5-SD | Co-Processor

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

925.56 ₽

at 154.26

Steam

×1

M249 | Warbird

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

66.79 ₽

at 66.79

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Torn

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

83.91 ₽

at 83.91

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 160.90 ₽ +653.80 (+56.3%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 36%
Losing outcome 34%
About break-even 30%

at a loss

AUG | Random Access

Factory New

1 030.69 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden

Factory New

3 848.54 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Factory New

1 277.08 ₽ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

AK-47 | Rat Rod

Factory New

5 792.75 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

AUG | Arctic Wolf

Factory New

871.27 ₽ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

PP-Bizon | Embargo

Factory New

976.36 ₽ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Obsidian

Factory New

1 952.71 ₽ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Neon Ply

Factory New

1 537.34 ₽ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection Variant 5 The Glove Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +406.41 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +536.67 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Shattered Web Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2002103 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit 646.82₽ · invest 1 139.38₽
sells slowly rare inputs

MP7 | Guerrilla (Field-Tested) instead of M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076709 instead of 0.075322; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.005870 instead of 0.004657
Craft 2002356 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 634.92₽ · invest 1 119.17₽
sells slowly rare inputs

SSG 08 | Necropos (Field-Tested) instead of M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076709 instead of 0.075322; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.005870 instead of 0.004657
Craft 2001772 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Bank Collection · profit 622.90₽ · invest 1 077.96₽
sells slowly rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Tuxedo (Field-Tested) instead of M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074603 instead of 0.075322; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.004027 instead of 0.004657
Craft 2002335 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 622.70₽ · invest 1 073.52₽
sells slowly rare inputs

FAMAS | 2A2F (Field-Tested) instead of M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075320 instead of 0.075322; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.004655 instead of 0.004657

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build