Crafts · The Falchion Collection
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The Falchion Collection + The Recoil Collection

StatTrak™ Restricted → Classified About the craft Craft 2024478 · ways to build: 5 StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, which differs from the price of the normal item. The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +339.74₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the needed wear, regardless of float. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase. 1 233.57₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 1 573.31₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +27.5%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 40%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 3 034.00₽ · profit at most −1 460.69₽ (−48.1%) · chance of profit at most 0%

The estimate is made from the market at the time of the nightly check. Since then cheap listings with the needed float may have been bought or relisted. The «Check floats on Steam» button shows the current price.

The float window is very narrow: less than 30% of the wear range fits. The markup was not measured for such a case. The purchase will cost at least the stated number of times more. How much more is unknown, so the investment is shown as “at least” and the profit as “at most”.
StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) × 1 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 199.44 → 430.79 ₽
StatTrak™ P90 | Vent Rush (Minimal Wear) × 8 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.59 859.28 → 2 225.54 ₽
StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown (Factory New) × 1 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 174.85 → 377.68 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
+ a third collection

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

6% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)

Price understated: Only 6% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×1
StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1639
199.44 ₽
at 199.44
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.163972f′ (normalized) 0.047004wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 59 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1, new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 6 271.09 ₽ · little data, days: 1
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 96) · data 09.10 14:48 MSK
×8
StatTrak™ P90 | Vent Rush
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0748
859.28 ₽
at 107.41
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074859f′ (normalized) 0.106942wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 96 · good ≈ 5
on the market with this float, usually ~6, new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 156.87 ₽ · little data, days: 0
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 120) · data 09.10 14:48 MSK
×1
StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0042
174.85 ₽
at 174.85
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004252f′ (normalized) 0.006542wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 75 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~3, new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 2 556.72 ₽
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 66) · data 09.10 14:48 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 1 233.57 ₽ +339.74 (+27.5%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.090908991 result 0.070000, 0.063636, 0.090909, 0.090909, 0.029091, 0.090909 «No higher than» is a guarantee. Take every item with the float at the upper limit and you get exactly the result shown.

What you get 6 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 40%
  • Losing outcome 60%
in profit
best
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Ice Coaled
Factory New
3 311.49 ₽ 30.00%
Steam StatTrak™ AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Factory New)net 2 879.56 ₽ you get 0.070000The Recoil Collection sells 57 a week sell now to a buy order: 3 315.28 ₽ (you get 2 882.85 ₽)) · buy orders: 3592 sell on Market.CSGO: 2 857.89 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 3 133.66 · lots 16 on CSFloat: from 2 467.21 ₽ listings: 163 on CS.Money: ~ 2 767.76 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 2 642.10 ₽ listings: 81
at a loss
StatTrak™ P250 | Visions
Factory New
1 227.30 ₽ 30.00%
Steam StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Factory New)net 1 067.22 ₽ you get 0.063636The Recoil Collection sells 20 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 280.40 ₽ (you get 1 113.39 ₽)) · buy orders: 4380 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 241.58 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 361.39 · lots 14 on CSFloat: from 994.18 ₽ listings: 113 on CS.Money: ~ 1 090.97 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 065.50 ₽ listings: 62
at a loss
worst
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love
Minimal Wear
851.98 ₽ 30.00%
Steam StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear)net 740.85 ₽ you get 0.090909The Recoil Collection sells 34 a week sell now to a buy order: 873.05 ₽ (you get 759.17 ₽)) · buy orders: 2299 sell on Market.CSGO: 673.68 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 738.69 · lots 18 on CSFloat: from 689.39 ₽ listings: 40 on CS.Money: ~ 642.70 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 642.70 ₽ listings: 47
in profit
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket
Minimal Wear
1 568.32 ₽ 3.33%
Steam StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear)net 1 363.76 ₽ you get 0.090909 sells 4 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 259.37 ₽ (you get 1 095.10 ₽)) · buy orders: 267 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 474.44 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 616.72 · lots 16 on CSFloat: from 1 273.51 ₽ listings: 12 on CS.Money: ~ 1 269.26 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 273.51 ₽ listings: 20
in profit
StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis
Factory New
2 221.20 ₽ 3.33%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New)net 1 931.48 ₽ you get 0.029091
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 2 279.67 ₽ (you get 1 982.32 ₽)) · buy orders: 585 sell on Market.CSGO: 2 065.26 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 2 264.54 · lots 11 on CSFloat: from 1 845.74 ₽ listings: 29 on CS.Money: ~ 1 846.59 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 2 021.48 ₽ listings: 25
in profit
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex
Minimal Wear
1 972.74 ₽ 3.33%
Steam StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear)net 1 715.43 ₽ you get 0.090909 sells 9 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 490.78 ₽ (you get 1 296.33 ₽)) · buy orders: 567 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 359.18 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 490.33 · lots 23 on CSFloat: from 1 252.28 ₽ listings: 30 on CS.Money: ~ 1 297.28 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 355.01 ₽ listings: 48

Craft variants Craft variants One of this craft's two collections paired with another collection, same rarity. Click a variant to open its page with all the numbers. The variants may include a craft at a small loss: no more than 15% of the investment, if its most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee and that outcome's price is confirmed by sales.

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Recoil Collection
Variant 2 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Spectrum Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Spectrum Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 5 The Genesis Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 6 The Gamma Collection instead of The Recoil Collection
Chains Pretty floats Interesting Cases Favorites Proven in practice How crafts work