Crafts · The Falchion Collection
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The Falchion Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted About the craft Craft 2024724 · ways to build: 5 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft was not checked against the market at night (only the best are) or there were not enough listings. The numbers below are at average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will count by live listings right now.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +255.30₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the needed wear, regardless of float. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase. 465.58₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 720.88₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +54.8%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 64%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 1 153.76₽ · profit at most −432.87₽ (−37.5%) · chance of profit at most 12%

The estimate is made from the market at the time of the nightly check. Since then cheap listings with the needed float may have been bought or relisted. The «Check floats on Steam» button shows the current price.

The float window is very narrow: less than 30% of the wear range fits. The markup was not measured for such a case. The purchase will cost at least the stated number of times more. How much more is unknown, so the investment is shown as “at least” and the profit as “at most”.
UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) × 6 7% of the wear range fits at least ×2.51 363.18 → 911.58 ₽
UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) × 4 7% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 102.40 → 242.18 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
+ a third collection

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

7% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 7% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×6
UMP-45 | Riot
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0046
363.18 ₽
at 60.53
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004605f′ (normalized) 0.006578wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 174 · good ≈ 10
on the market with this float, usually ~11, new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 215.09 ₽ · little data, days: 1
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 177) · data 09.10 14:48 MSK
×4
UMP-45 | Late Night Transit
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1651
102.40 ₽
at 25.60
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.165131f′ (normalized) 0.165131wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 1 066 · good ≈ 2
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 4 of 311 · from 103.95 ₽ (float 0.1615) · craft not before 17.10 · data 09.10 14:48 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 465.58 ₽ +255.30 (+54.8%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 result 0.049000, 0.070000, 0.125800, 0.042000, 0.070000, 0.036400, 0.035000, 0.175700 «No higher than» is a guarantee. Take every item with the float at the upper limit and you get exactly the result shown.

What you get 8 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 64%
  • Losing outcome 24%
  • About break-even 12%
in profit
MAC-10 | Derailment
Factory New
749.89 ₽ 13.33%
Steam MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New)net 652.08 ₽ you get 0.049000The Train 2025 Collection sells 78 a week sell now to a buy order: 687.54 ₽ (you get 597.86 ₽)) · buy orders: 1828 sell on Market.CSGO: 537.55 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 589.42 · lots 79 on CSFloat: from 549.31 ₽ listings: 388 on CS.Money: ~ 506.86 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 512.80 ₽ listings: 628
in profit
Zeus x27 | Charged Up
Factory New
1 088.85 ₽ 13.33%
Steam Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Factory New)net 946.83 ₽ you get 0.070000The Train 2025 Collection sells 26 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 046.13 ₽ (you get 909.67 ₽)) · buy orders: 1772 sell on Market.CSGO: 787.98 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 864.02 · lots 94 on CSFloat: from 749.67 ₽ listings: 286 on CS.Money: ~ 835.42 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 761.56 ₽ listings: 315
in profit
Tec-9 | Whiteout
Minimal Wear
1 274.13 ₽ 13.33%
Steam Tec-9 | Whiteout (Minimal Wear)net 1 107.94 ₽ you get 0.125800The Train 2025 Collection sells 112 a week sell now to a buy order: 1 411.41 ₽ (you get 1 227.31 ₽)) · buy orders: 2482 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 068.71 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 171.84 · lots 107 on CSFloat: from 1 041.73 ₽ listings: 594 on CS.Money: ~ 1 184.36 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 011.16 ₽ listings: 618
about break-even
FAMAS | Neural Net
Factory New
527.81 ₽ 12.00%
price without deals
Steam FAMAS | Neural Net (Factory New)net 458.97 ₽ you get 0.042000
by lot · 2 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 558.44 ₽ (you get 485.60 ₽)) · buy orders: 9026 sell on Market.CSGO: 432.23 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 473.94 · lots 64 on CSFloat: from 394.79 ₽ listings: 121 on CS.Money: ~ 424.50 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 445.73 ₽ listings: 213
in profit
best
P2000 | Handgun
Factory New
1 636.88 ₽ 12.00%
Steam P2000 | Handgun (Factory New)net 1 423.37 ₽ you get 0.070000 sells about 16 a week (data for 6 days of 7)) sell now to a buy order: 1 644.73 ₽ (you get 1 430.20 ₽)) · buy orders: 2687 sell on Market.CSGO: 1 449.76 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 1 589.66 · lots 24 on CSFloat: from 1 328.69 ₽ listings: 63 on CS.Money: ~ 1 334.64 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 1 425.48 ₽ listings: 47
in profit
M4A4 | Evil Daimyo
Factory New
764.47 ₽ 12.00%
Steam M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Factory New)net 664.76 ₽ you get 0.036400 sells 160 a week sell now to a buy order: 810.89 ₽ (you get 705.12 ₽)) · buy orders: 15649 sell on Market.CSGO: 641.45 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 703.35 · lots 55 on CSFloat: from 591.76 ₽ listings: 533 on CS.Money: ~ 680.90 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 635.06 ₽ listings: 784
at a loss
MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart
Factory New
423.89 ₽ 12.00%
Steam MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New)net 368.60 ₽ you get 0.035000 sells 93 a week sell now to a buy order: 480.03 ₽ (you get 417.41 ₽)) · buy orders: 15545 sell on Market.CSGO: 361.13 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 395.98 · lots 32 on CSFloat: from 361.68 ₽ listings: 208 on CS.Money: ~ 351.49 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 361.68 ₽ listings: 229
at a loss
worst
Negev | Loudmouth
Field-Tested
96.67 ₽ 12.00%
Steam Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested)net 84.06 ₽ you get 0.175700 sells 247 a week sell now to a buy order: 87.97 ₽ (you get 76.49 ₽)) · buy orders: 17976 sell on Market.CSGO: 66.64 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 73.08 · lots 53 on CSFloat: from 84.90 ₽ listings: 72 on CS.Money: ~ 67.92 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 67.92 ₽ listings: 139

Craft variants Craft variants One of this craft's two collections paired with another collection, same rarity. Click a variant to open its page with all the numbers. The variants may include a craft at a small loss: no more than 15% of the investment, if its most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee and that outcome's price is confirmed by sales.

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Train 2025 Collection
Variant 2 only The Train 2025 Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Falchion Collection
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