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The Harlequin Collection + The Prisma Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +489.97₽

Invest 413.34₽

Average return 903.31₽

ROI +118.5%

Chance of profit 64%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 1 002.67₽ · profit at most −99.36₽ (−9.9%) · chance of profit at most 36%

The estimate is made from the market at the time of the nightly check. Since then cheap listings with the needed float may have been bought or relisted. The «Check floats on Steam» button shows the current price.

The float window is very narrow: less than 30% of the wear range fits. The markup was not measured for such a case. The purchase will cost at least the stated number of times more. How much more is unknown, so the investment is shown as “at least” and the profit as “at most”.

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 72.60 → 156.82 ₽

P250 | Verdigris (Minimal Wear) × 2 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 67.74 → 149.71 ₽

MP7 | Mischief (Field-Tested) × 7 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.55 273.00 → 696.15 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

+ a third collection

How to build

5% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 5% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×1

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

72.60 ₽

at 72.60

Steam

×2

P250 | Verdigris

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

67.74 ₽

at 33.87

Steam

×7

MP7 | Mischief

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1620

273.00 ₽

at 39.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 413.34 ₽ +489.97 (+118.5%)

7% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 7% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×5

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

200.15 ₽

at 40.03

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

290.40 ₽

at 72.60

Steam

×1

FAMAS | Crypsis

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

30.37 ₽

at 30.37

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 520.92 ₽ +117.14 (+22.5%)

6% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 6% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×4

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

160.12 ₽

at 40.03

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

217.80 ₽

at 72.60

Steam

×1

P250 | Verdigris

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

33.87 ₽

at 33.87

Steam

×2

MP7 | Mischief

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1647

78.00 ₽

at 39.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 489.79 ₽ +214.58 (+43.8%)

6% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 6% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×5

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

200.15 ₽

at 40.03

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

217.80 ₽

at 72.60

Steam

×2

MP7 | Mischief

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1647

78.00 ₽

at 39.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 495.95 ₽ +175.27 (+35.3%)

6% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 6% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×3

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

118.02 ₽

at 39.34

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

145.20 ₽

at 72.60

Steam

×5

MP7 | Mischief

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1629

195.00 ₽

at 39.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 458.22 ₽ +312.47 (+68.2%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 64%
Losing outcome 36%

in profit

best

AWP | Atheris

Factory New

3 197.35 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

Desert Eagle | Light Rail

Factory New

1 220.44 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP5-SD | Gauss

Factory New

288.67 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

Tec-9 | Bamboozle

Factory New

528.08 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

UMP-45 | Moonrise

Factory New

150.15 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

AWP | Exothermic

Factory New

691.74 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Factory New

699.54 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Harlequin Collection + The Prisma Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Prisma Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Prisma Collection Variant 6 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +312.66 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +396.71 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Harlequin Collection and The Prisma Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 14 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2031556 · The Horizon Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 510.01₽ · invest 417.87₽
rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); P250 | Verdigris (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074120 instead of 0.074197; MP7 | Mischief (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161845 instead of 0.162068
Craft 2035043 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 508.89₽ · invest 394.93₽
Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); P250 | Verdigris (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074120 instead of 0.074197; MP7 | Mischief (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161845 instead of 0.162068
Craft 2017475 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 504.94₽ · invest 389.57₽
M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); P250 | Verdigris (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074120 instead of 0.074197; MP7 | Mischief (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161845 instead of 0.162068
Craft 2010840 · The Ascent Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 503.08₽ · invest 416.90₽
P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); P250 | Verdigris (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074165 instead of 0.074197; MP7 | Mischief (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161974 instead of 0.162068
Craft 2024413 · The Falchion Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 501.55₽ · invest 401.27₽
UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New)
Craft 2012113 · The Boreal Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 499.11₽ · invest 374.06₽
MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); P250 | Verdigris (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074165 instead of 0.074197; MP7 | Mischief (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161974 instead of 0.162068
Craft 2018422 · The Chroma Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 499.02₽ · invest 416.57₽
rare inputs

XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); P250 | Verdigris (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074120 instead of 0.074197; MP7 | Mischief (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161845 instead of 0.162068
Craft 2036325 · The Prisma Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 496.83₽ · invest 407.39₽
M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); P250 | Verdigris (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074120 instead of 0.074197; MP7 | Mischief (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161845 instead of 0.162068
Craft 2028743 · The Gamma Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 496.53₽ · invest 387.73₽
SG 553 | Aerial (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); P250 | Verdigris (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074165 instead of 0.074197; MP7 | Mischief (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161974 instead of 0.162068
Craft 2023044 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 495.83₽ · invest 361.24₽
SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); P250 | Verdigris (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074153 instead of 0.074197; MP7 | Mischief (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161940 instead of 0.162068
Craft 2036554 · The Prisma Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 494.25₽ · invest 384.68₽
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); P250 | Verdigris (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074120 instead of 0.074197; MP7 | Mischief (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161845 instead of 0.162068
Craft 2006814 · The Achroma Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 490.65₽ · invest 405.69₽
P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); P250 | Verdigris (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074182 instead of 0.074197; MP7 | Mischief (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162025 instead of 0.162068
Craft 2036521 · The Prisma Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 488.56₽ · invest 377.10₽
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); P250 | Verdigris (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074120 instead of 0.074197; MP7 | Mischief (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161845 instead of 0.162068
Craft 2013536 · The Breakout Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 485.63₽ · invest 389.73₽
rare inputs

Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); P250 | Verdigris (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074120 instead of 0.074197; MP7 | Mischief (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161845 instead of 0.162068

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Harlequin Collection + The Prisma Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build