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The Phoenix Collection + The Prisma Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +435.23₽

Invest 453.35₽

Average return 888.58₽

ROI +96.0%

Chance of profit 64%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 1 092.05₽ · profit at most −203.47₽ (−18.6%) · chance of profit at most 22%

The estimate is made from the market at the time of the nightly check. Since then cheap listings with the needed float may have been bought or relisted. The «Check floats on Steam» button shows the current price.

The float window is very narrow: less than 30% of the wear range fits. The markup was not measured for such a case. The purchase will cost at least the stated number of times more. How much more is unknown, so the investment is shown as “at least” and the profit as “at most”.

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) × 1 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 53.45 → 115.45 ₽

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) × 2 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 126.90 → 280.45 ₽

MP7 | Mischief (Field-Tested) × 7 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.55 273.00 → 696.15 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

+ a third collection

How to build

6% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 6% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×1

UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

53.45 ₽

at 53.45

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

126.90 ₽

at 63.45

Steam

×7

MP7 | Mischief

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1640

273.00 ₽

at 39.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 453.35 ₽ +435.23 (+96.0%)

6% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 6% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×1

UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

53.45 ₽

at 53.45

Steam

×7

MP7 | Mischief

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1647

273.00 ₽

at 39.00

Steam

×2

FAMAS | Crypsis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

207.00 ₽

at 103.50

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 533.45 ₽ +387.05 (+72.6%)

profit on prices without sales at least −28 ₽

6% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 6% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×7

UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

374.15 ₽

at 53.45

Steam

×1

MAC-10 | Whitefish

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1640

27.33 ₽

at 27.33

Steam

×2

MP7 | Mischief

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1640

78.00 ₽

at 39.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 479.48 ₽ +345.24 (+72.0%)

profit on prices without sales at least −194 ₽

6% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 6% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×1

Tec-9 | Sandstorm

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1641

52.46 ₽

at 52.46

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

427.60 ₽

at 53.45

Steam

×1

MAC-10 | Whitefish

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1641

27.33 ₽

at 27.33

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 507.39 ₽ +285.41 (+56.2%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 36%
About break-even 14%

in profit

best

AWP | Atheris

Factory New

3 197.35 ₽ 14.00%

Steam

in profit

Desert Eagle | Light Rail

Factory New

1 220.44 ₽ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP5-SD | Gauss

Factory New

288.67 ₽ 14.00%

Steam

about break-even

Tec-9 | Bamboozle

Factory New

528.08 ₽ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

UMP-45 | Moonrise

Factory New

150.15 ₽ 14.00%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Sergeant

Minimal Wear

1 290.73 ₽ 7.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MAC-10 | Heat

Factory New

1 160.96 ₽ 7.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

SG 553 | Pulse

Minimal Wear

630.22 ₽ 7.50%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

491.53 ₽ 7.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Phoenix Collection + The Prisma Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Prisma Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Prisma Collection Variant 6 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +260.72 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +350.88 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Phoenix Collection and The Prisma Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2036590 · The Prisma Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 551.89₽ · invest 470.00₽
AUG | Signal Scanner (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); MP7 | Mischief (Field-Tested): 8 pcs instead of 7; MP7 | Mischief (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162056 instead of 0.164096

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Phoenix Collection + The Prisma Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build