Crafts · The Shadow Collection
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The Shadow Collection + The Vanguard Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert About the craft Craft 2038486 · ways to build: 5 StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, which differs from the price of the normal item. The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft was not checked against the market at night (only the best are) or there were not enough listings. The numbers below are at average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will count by live listings right now.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +22 223.10₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the needed wear, regardless of float. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase. 43 443.44₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 65 666.54₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +51.1%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 50%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 105 480.26₽ · profit at most −39 813.72₽ (−37.8%) · chance of profit at most 45%

The estimate is made from the market at the time of the nightly check. Since then cheap listings with the needed float may have been bought or relisted. The «Check floats on Steam» button shows the current price.

The float window is very narrow: less than 30% of the wear range fits. The markup was not measured for such a case. The purchase will cost at least the stated number of times more. How much more is unknown, so the investment is shown as “at least” and the profit as “at most”.
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 5 421.71 → 11 710.89 ₽
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) × 3 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 6 660.69 → 15 053.16 ₽
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New) × 6 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.51 31 361.04 → 78 716.21 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
Sell on a marketplace: CSFloat, outcomes: 1. They have no price on Steam (above its price cap or nobody listed them); they are counted at the marketplace's cheapest listing minus its fee, ignoring pattern and float. They account for 45.0% of the probability. Money from the marketplace can be withdrawn, while the investment comes from the Steam balance. Without them (as zero, like before) the profit is −30 157.00 ₽.
+ a third collection

How to build Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

5% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 5% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×1
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0741
5 421.71 ₽
at 5 421.71
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074123f′ (normalized) 0.063674wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 26 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new listings per day: fewer than one · little data, days: 2
Lis-Skins: suitable 2 of 78 · from 5 883.14 ₽ (float 0.0729) · craft not before 17.10 · data 09.10 14:48 MSK
×3
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0741
6 660.69 ₽
at 2 220.23
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.074123f′ (normalized) 0.074123wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 6 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new listings per day: fewer than one
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 11) · data 09.10 14:48 MSK
×6
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0036
31 361.04 ₽
at 5 226.84
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003607f′ (normalized) 0.003607wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 2 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new listings per day: fewer than one
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 6) · data 09.10 14:48 MSK
Set · 10 pcs 43 443.44 ₽ +22 223.10 (+51.1%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.030769131 result 0.070000, 0.018461, 0.030769, 0.030769 «No higher than» is a guarantee. Take every item with the float at the upper limit and you get exactly the result shown.

What you get 4 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 50%
  • Losing outcome 45%
  • About break-even 5%
in profit
best
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel
Factory New
118 775.75 ₽ 45.00%
sell on CSFloat
Steam StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New)net 116 400.23 ₽ you get 0.070000The Vanguard Collection no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 118 775.75 ₽ listings 9 · you get 116 400.23 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 107 067.21 ₽ (you get 93 101.92 ₽)) · buy orders: 430 Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price on CSFloat: from 118 775.75 ₽ listings: 9 on Lis-Skins: from 153 775.11 ₽ listings: 7
at a loss
worst
StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental
Factory New
20 191.77 ₽ 45.00%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental (Factory New)net 17 558.06 ₽ you get 0.018461The Vanguard Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 16 832.56 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 18 456.76 · lots 5 on CSFloat: from 14 508.64 ₽ listings: 16 on Lis-Skins: from 14 554.49 ₽ listings: 7
about break-even
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil
Factory New
49 036.01 ₽ 5.00%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Factory New)net 42 640.01 ₽ you get 0.030769
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 32 979.39 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 36 161.62 · lots 10 on CSFloat: from 28 524.86 ₽ listings: 34 on CS.Money: ~ 31 678.91 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 30 847.73 ₽ listings: 19
in profit
StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed
Factory New
74 826.08 ₽ 5.00%
price without deals
Steam StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Factory New)net 65 066.16 ₽ you get 0.030769
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 56 938.07 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 62 432.10 · lots 8 on CSFloat: from 50 969.99 ₽ listings: 23 on CS.Money: ~ 59 641.73 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 55 548.67 ₽ listings: 18

Craft variants Craft variants One of this craft's two collections paired with another collection, same rarity. Click a variant to open its page with all the numbers. The variants may include a craft at a small loss: no more than 15% of the investment, if its most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee and that outcome's price is confirmed by sales.

Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The Vanguard Collection
Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 5 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Shadow Collection
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