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The 2018 Inferno Collection + The 2021 Mirage Collection

Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade

Average profit +281.98₽

Invest 524.10₽

Average return 806.08₽

ROI +53.8%

Chance of profit 45%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 1 314.34₽ · profit at most −508.26₽ (−38.7%) · chance of profit at most 22%

The estimate is made from the market at the time of the nightly check. Since then cheap listings with the needed float may have been bought or relisted. The «Check floats on Steam» button shows the current price.

The float window is very narrow: less than 30% of the wear range fits. The markup was not measured for such a case. The purchase will cost at least the stated number of times more. How much more is unknown, so the investment is shown as “at least” and the profit as “at most”.

MAC-10 | Calf Skin (Minimal Wear) × 1 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 11.94 → 25.79 ₽

Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear) × 8 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.59 423.92 → 1 097.95 ₽

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Factory New) × 1 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 88.24 → 190.60 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

+ a third collection

How to build

6% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 6% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×1

MAC-10 | Calf Skin

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

11.94 ₽

at 11.94

Steam

×8

Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

423.92 ₽

at 52.99

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

88.24 ₽

at 88.24

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 524.10 ₽ +281.98 (+53.8%)

5% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 5% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×1

MAC-10 | Calf Skin

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

11.94 ₽

at 11.94

Steam

×3

Glock-18 | High Beam

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

44.07 ₽

at 14.69

Steam

×1

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1621

26.06 ₽

at 26.06

souvenirSteam

×5

P90 | Verdant Growth

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

247.40 ₽

at 49.48

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 329.47 ₽ +235.32 (+71.4%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 55%

at a loss

M249 | Humidor

Factory New

float up to 0.063636

380.56 ₽ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Music Box

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

636.15 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Factory New

float up to 0.062363

368.47 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Purple DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 692.78 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | Converter

Factory New

float up to 0.050909

140.96 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

float up to 0.010181

66.23 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

SSG 08 | Hand Brake

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.127272

95.07 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Check Engine

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.076363

75.92 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Inferno Collection + The 2021 Mirage Collection

Variant 2 The Nuke Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection Variant 3 only The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 4 The Radiant Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection Variant 5 The Boreal Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection Variant 6 The Achroma Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +130.31 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +190.85 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Inferno Collection and The 2021 Mirage Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2053733 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Arabesque Collection · profit 285.48₽ · invest 521.44₽
rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Mystic Conjunction (Minimal Wear) instead of MAC-10 | Calf Skin (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2054622 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 282.59₽ · invest 523.47₽
rare inputs

Tec-9 | Perimeter (Minimal Wear) instead of MAC-10 | Calf Skin (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2053653 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Achroma Collection · profit 277.24₽ · invest 524.21₽
rare inputs

MP5-SD | Snow Splash (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Calf Skin (Minimal Wear); Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074593 instead of 0.074481; Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Factory New): float at most 0.004019 instead of 0.003921

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Inferno Collection + The 2021 Mirage Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build