to all crafts

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Ancient Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Average profit +35.78₴

Invest 97.94₴

Average return 133.72₴

ROI +36.5%

Chance of profit 68%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 239.78₴ · profit at most −106.05₴ (−44.2%) · chance of profit at most 0%

The estimate is made from the market at the time of the nightly check. Since then cheap listings with the needed float may have been bought or relisted. The «Check floats on Steam» button shows the current price.

The float window is very narrow: less than 30% of the wear range fits. The markup was not measured for such a case. The purchase will cost at least the stated number of times more. How much more is unknown, so the investment is shown as “at least” and the profit as “at most”.

UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New) × 1 8% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 2.70 → 5.83 ₴

Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Field-Tested) × 7 8% of the wear range fits at least ×2.55 69.01 → 175.98 ₴

Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New) × 2 8% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 26.23 → 57.97 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

+ a third collection

How to build

8% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 8% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×1

UMP-45 | Facility Dark

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

2.70 ₴

at 2.70

Steam

×7

Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1686

69.01 ₴

at 9.86

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

26.23 ₴

at 13.12

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 97.94 ₴ +35.78 (+36.5%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 68%
Losing outcome 33%

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Silver

Factory New

float up to 0.008615

98.36 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

G3SG1 | Ancient Ritual

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.081846

167.00 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Panther Camo

Factory New

float up to 0.053846

181.16 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

MP7 | Tall Grass

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

231.51 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Galil AR | Cold Fusion

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.089384

10.62 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | Mainframe

Factory New

float up to 0.053846

12.59 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Motherboard

Factory New

float up to 0.053846

12.28 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

Negev | Bulkhead

Factory New

float up to 0.053846

13.59 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Ancient Collection

Variant 2 The Safehouse Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 3 The Lake Collection instead of The Ancient Collection Variant 4 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Ancient Collection Variant 5 The Lake Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 6 The Overpass Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +6.24 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +21.78 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Ancient Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 20 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2053682 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ancient Collection · profit 37.69₴ · invest 101.74₴
sells slowly

Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New); Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168732 instead of 0.168646; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.005701 instead of 0.005675
Craft 2058120 · The Ancient Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 37.06₴ · invest 96.68₴
sells slowly

SCAR-20 | Contractor (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New); Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167732 instead of 0.168646; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.005396 instead of 0.005675
Craft 2057674 · The Ancient Collection + The Dust 2 Collection · profit 36.94₴ · invest 96.74₴
sells slowly

MP9 | Sand Dashed (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New); Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167732 instead of 0.168646; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.005396 instead of 0.005675
Craft 2057806 · The Ancient Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 36.82₴ · invest 96.59₴
sells slowly

MP9 | Bee-Tron (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New); Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162445 instead of 0.168646; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.003787 instead of 0.005675
Craft 2057431 · The Ancient Collection + The Ascent Collection · profit 36.79₴ · invest 96.59₴
sells slowly

R8 Revolver | Cobalt Grip (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New); Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161612 instead of 0.168646; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.003534 instead of 0.005675
Craft 2057432 · The Ancient Collection + The Ascent Collection · profit 36.73₴ · invest 96.83₴
sells slowly

P90 | Blue Tac (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New); Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162391 instead of 0.168646; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.003771 instead of 0.005675
Craft 2058240 · The Ancient Collection + The Train Collection · profit 36.70₴ · invest 97.20₴
sells slowly

PP-Bizon | Urban Dashed (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New); Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167732 instead of 0.168646; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.005396 instead of 0.005675
Craft 2057488 · The Ancient Collection + The Boreal Collection · profit 36.69₴ · invest 96.73₴
sells slowly

M249 | Sage Camo (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New); Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162391 instead of 0.168646; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.003771 instead of 0.005675
Craft 2051268 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Ancient Collection · profit 36.67₴ · invest 96.67₴
sells slowly

MAG-7 | Rust Coat (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New); Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163143 instead of 0.168646; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.004000 instead of 0.005675
Craft 2057489 · The Ancient Collection + The Boreal Collection · profit 36.63₴ · invest 96.73₴
sells slowly

M249 | Sage Camo (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New); Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165881 instead of 0.168646; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.004833 instead of 0.005675
Craft 2056506 · The Achroma Collection + The Ancient Collection · profit 36.61₴ · invest 96.65₴
sells slowly

PP-Bizon | Bizoom (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New); Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168776 instead of 0.168646; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.005714 instead of 0.005675
Craft 2057433 · The Ancient Collection + The Ascent Collection · profit 36.59₴ · invest 96.83₴
sells slowly

P90 | Blue Tac (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New); Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165042 instead of 0.168646; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.004578 instead of 0.005675
Craft 2057490 · The Ancient Collection + The Boreal Collection · profit 36.52₴ · invest 96.73₴
sells slowly

M249 | Sage Camo (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New); Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168669 instead of 0.168646; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.005681 instead of 0.005675
Craft 2058041 · The Ancient Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 36.50₴ · invest 96.72₴
sells slowly

Nova | Marsh Grass (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New); Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162344 instead of 0.168646; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.003756 instead of 0.005675
Craft 2057891 · The Ancient Collection + The Lake Collection · profit 36.50₴ · invest 97.07₴
sells slowly

G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New); Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167732 instead of 0.168646; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.005396 instead of 0.005675
Craft 2058042 · The Ancient Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 36.48₴ · invest 96.59₴
sells slowly

Dual Berettas | BorDeux (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New); Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161579 instead of 0.168646; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.003524 instead of 0.005675
Craft 2057491 · The Ancient Collection + The Boreal Collection · profit 36.48₴ · invest 96.73₴
sells slowly

M249 | Sage Camo (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New); Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168804 instead of 0.168646; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.005723 instead of 0.005675
Craft 2058043 · The Ancient Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 36.42₴ · invest 96.72₴
sells slowly

Nova | Marsh Grass (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New); Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164786 instead of 0.168646; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.004500 instead of 0.005675
Craft 2057863 · The Ancient Collection + The Italy Collection · profit 36.23₴ · invest 97.36₴
sells slowly

AUG | Contractor (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New); Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167732 instead of 0.168646; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.005396 instead of 0.005675
Craft 2057470 · The Ancient Collection + The Bank Collection · profit 35.85₴ · invest 97.49₴
sells slowly

Sawed-Off | Forest DDPAT (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New); Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167732 instead of 0.168646; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.005396 instead of 0.005675

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Ancient Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build