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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Ascent Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +1.26$

Invest 5.38$

Average return 6.64$

ROI +23.3%

Chance of profit 35%

With float: invest at least 13.74 $, profit at most −7.10 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0771

4.49 $

at 0.50

Steam

×1

P90 | Reef Grief

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

0.90 $

at 0.90

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5.38 $ +1.26 (+23.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0785

3.99 $

at 0.50

Steam

×1

P2000 | Royal Baroque

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0785

0.50 $

at 0.50

Steam

×1

P90 | Reef Grief

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0074

0.90 $

at 0.90

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5.39 $ +1.00 (+18.6%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 35%
Losing outcome 35%
About break-even 30%

in profit

best

AUG | Random Access

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

12.14 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.097999

5.63 $ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

5.99 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | Midnight Laminate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.104999

7.36 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

USP-S | Royal Guard

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.083999

2.77 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Ascent Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Ascent Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Ascent Collection Variant 5 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 6 The Glove Collection instead of The Ascent Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +0.19 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1.05 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Ascent Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2052052 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit 1.27$ · invest 5.38$
rare inputs

XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New) instead of P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.077194
Craft 2052121 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 1.27$ · invest 5.20$
UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) instead of P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077272 instead of 0.077194
Craft 2052563 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 1.21$ · invest 6.10$
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear) instead of P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074390 instead of 0.077194
Craft 2052248 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Italy Collection · profit 1.19$ · invest 5.15$
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Factory New) instead of P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Ascent Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build