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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Chroma Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +1.26$

Invest 19.32$

Average return 20.59$

ROI +6.5%

Chance of profit 52%

With float: invest at least 48.66 $, profit at most −28.07 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1656

14.72 $

at 1.64

Steam

×1

Sawed-Off | Serenity

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

4.61 $

at 4.61

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 19.32 $ +1.26 (+6.5%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 48%
Losing outcome 48%
About break-even 3%

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Control Panel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

42.47 $ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Tec-9 | Remote Control

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

5.56 $ 45.00%

Steam

about break-even

AK-47 | Cartel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.112499

22.23 $ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | 龍王 (Dragon King)

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.112499

25.30 $ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Muertos

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.089999

14.31 $ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Chroma Collection

Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The Chroma Collection Variant 3 The Horizon Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 4 The Breakout Collection instead of The Chroma Collection Variant 5 The Huntsman Collection instead of The Chroma Collection Variant 6 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Chroma Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −1.80 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −0.20 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Chroma Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2052581 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 1.40$ · invest 18.83$
rare inputs

P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Serenity (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164412 instead of 0.165610

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Chroma Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build