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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Danger Zone Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +3.59$

Invest 10.99$

Average return 14.58$

ROI +32.7%

Chance of profit 35%

With float: invest at least 27.12 $, profit at most −12.54 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

6% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

1.64 $

at 1.64

Steam

×8

G3SG1 | Scavenger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

7.85 $

at 0.98

Steam

×1

MAC-10 | Pipe Down

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

1.51 $

at 1.51

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 10.99 $ +3.59 (+32.7%)

8% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1677

6.54 $

at 1.64

Steam

×4

G3SG1 | Scavenger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

3.92 $

at 0.98

Steam

×2

P250 | Nevermore

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0053

4.30 $

at 2.15

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 14.77 $ +1.92 (+13.0%)

8% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1673

3.27 $

at 1.64

Steam

×7

G3SG1 | Scavenger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

6.87 $

at 0.98

Steam

×1

P250 | Nevermore

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

2.15 $

at 2.15

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 12.29 $ +3.00 (+24.4%)

6% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1633

9.81 $

at 1.64

Steam

×2

MAC-10 | Pipe Down

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

3.02 $

at 1.51

Steam

×2

P250 | Nevermore

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

4.30 $

at 2.15

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 17.14 $ +0.94 (+5.5%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 35%
Losing outcome 35%
About break-even 30%

in profit

Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

28.54 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP5-SD | Phosphor

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.093333

7.21 $ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

float up to 0.058333

12.14 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Control Panel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.116666

42.47 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Tec-9 | Remote Control

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.116666

5.56 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Danger Zone Collection

Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 3 The Horizon Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 4 The Breakout Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 5 The Huntsman Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 6 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.19 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2.86 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Danger Zone Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2071403 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 3.94$ · invest 13.06$
Nova | Smart Gun (Field-Tested) instead of MAG-7 | Core Breach (Field-Tested)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Danger Zone Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

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How to build