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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Falchion Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +3 553.89₸

Invest 5 351.09₸

Average return 8 904.98₸

ROI +66.4%

Chance of profit 62%

With float: invest at least 13 021.87 ₸, profit at most −4 116.89 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0777

904.83 ₸

at 226.21

Steam

×5

MP5-SD | Co-Processor

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0068

4 122.72 ₸

at 824.54

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0068

323.54 ₸

at 323.54

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5 351.09 ₸ +3 553.89 (+66.4%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 62%
Losing outcome 38%

at a loss

AUG | Random Access

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

5 509.20 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

20 571.05 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6 826.19 ₸ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

2 821.23 ₸ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8 749.38 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.036399

4 086.21 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

2 265.76 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.175699

516.72 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 6 The Glove Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2 241.92 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2 857.79 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 28 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2052354 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 3 848.84₸ · invest 5 236.01₸
sells slowly rare inputs

MP7 | Mischief (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074233 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.003704 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2051174 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The 2018 Nuke Collection · profit 3 728.68₸ · invest 5 387.87₸
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075056 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.004424 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2052223 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 3 599.10₸ · invest 5 439.82₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077567 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006621 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2052318 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 3 593.16₸ · invest 5 317.20₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077567 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006621 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2052458 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 3 591.07₸ · invest 5 248.09₸
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077567 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006621 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2052042 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit 3 572.02₸ · invest 5 288.55₸
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077567 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006621 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2052035 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit 3 569.80₸ · invest 5 185.12₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076086 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.005326 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2052342 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 3 567.27₸ · invest 5 313.25₸
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076129 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.005363 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2051950 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Ascent Collection · profit 3 562.06₸ · invest 5 434.64₸
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077688 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006727 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2052072 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit 3 547.09₸ · invest 5 167.75₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076388 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.005590 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2052163 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 3 545.48₸ · invest 5 260.33₸
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076267 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.005483 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2052408 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 3 542.97₸ · invest 5 326.88₸
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077567 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006621 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2051988 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Boreal Collection · profit 3 540.86₸ · invest 5 205.65₸
sells slowly rare inputs

MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077688 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006727 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2052050 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit 3 540.39₸ · invest 5 432.87₸
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077567 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006621 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2052378 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 3 528.67₸ · invest 5 383.80₸
sells slowly rare inputs

M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077567 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006621 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2052092 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 3 523.31₸ · invest 5 137.12₸
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077656 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006699 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2052477 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 3 514.88₸ · invest 5 262.41₸
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077567 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006621 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2052136 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 3 512.61₸ · invest 5 179.19₸
sells slowly rare inputs

SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 2052444 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3 510.73₸ · invest 5 494.34₸
sells slowly rare inputs

MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077567 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006621 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2052250 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 3 507.98₸ · invest 5 168.45₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Dark Sigil (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077776 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006804 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2052146 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 3 501.89₸ · invest 5 335.48₸
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077779 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006807 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2051868 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Achroma Collection · profit 3 495.66₸ · invest 5 374.72₸
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077736 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006769 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2052211 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 3 492.01₸ · invest 5 415.61₸
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 2052496 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 3 489.49₸ · invest 5 438.86₸
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | Small Game (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 2052468 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 3 484.45₸ · invest 5 221.90₸
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077567 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006621 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2052350 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 3 478.03₸ · invest 5 277.11₸
sells slowly rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077688 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006727 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2052057 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 3 476.03₸ · invest 5 203.94₸
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 2052006 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit 3 468.79₸ · invest 5 289.41₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077567 instead of 0.077777; MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): float at most 0.006621 instead of 0.006805

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build