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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Radiant Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +60.20₴

Invest 236.96₴

Average return 297.16₴

ROI +25.4%

Chance of profit 33%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 606.61₴ · profit at most −309.45₴ (−51.0%) · chance of profit at most 0%

The estimate is made from the market at the time of the nightly check. Since then cheap listings with the needed float may have been bought or relisted. The «Check floats on Steam» button shows the current price.

The float window is very narrow: less than 30% of the wear range fits. The markup was not measured for such a case. The purchase will cost at least the stated number of times more. How much more is unknown, so the investment is shown as “at least” and the profit as “at most”.

P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear) × 9 9% of the wear range fits at least ×2.63 201.67 → 530.38 ₴

M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) × 1 9% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 35.29 → 76.23 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

+ a third collection

How to build

9% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 9% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×9

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

201.67 ₴

at 22.41

Steam

×1

M4A1-S | Rose Hex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

35.29 ₴

at 35.29

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 236.96 ₴ +60.20 (+25.4%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 33%
Losing outcome 37%
About break-even 30%

in profit

best

AUG | Random Access

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

545.72 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.097999

253.23 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

269.27 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

Desert Eagle | Mulberry

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.104999

342.53 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

M4A1-S | Glitched Paint

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.093799

155.09 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

worst

USP-S | Bleeding Edge

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.083999

140.20 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Radiant Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Radiant Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Radiant Collection Variant 5 The Glove Collection instead of The Radiant Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Radiant Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +12.65 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +50.76 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Radiant Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 10 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2052060 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 63.77₴ · invest 219.14₴
rare inputs

XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077272 instead of 0.077088
Craft 2052045 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit 63.63₴ · invest 227.52₴
M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New)
Craft 2052469 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 63.21₴ · invest 220.92₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New)
Craft 2052007 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit 62.92₴ · invest 227.60₴
rare inputs

Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New)
Craft 2052392 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 62.10₴ · invest 219.85₴
Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077272 instead of 0.077088
Craft 2052409 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 60.10₴ · invest 231.32₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New)
Craft 2052120 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 59.65₴ · invest 233.71₴
UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074475 instead of 0.077088
Craft 2052272 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Lake Collection · profit 59.10₴ · invest 222.28₴
SG 553 | Anodized Navy (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074837 instead of 0.077088
Craft 2052351 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 58.31₴ · invest 226.39₴
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077194 instead of 0.077088
Craft 2052149 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 57.83₴ · invest 232.17₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077274 instead of 0.077088

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Radiant Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build