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The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The 2021 Mirage Collection

Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +160.23₴

Invest 318.40₴

Average return 478.63₴

ROI +50.3%

Chance of profit 32%

With float: invest at least 777.87 ₴, profit at most −299.23 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir MP9 | Old Roots

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

62.09 ₴

at 62.09

souvenirSteam

×8

P90 | Verdant Growth

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

209.59 ₴

at 26.20

Steam

×1

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

46.72 ₴

at 46.72

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 318.40 ₴ +160.23 (+50.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −154 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

M249 | Midnight Palm

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0773

336.16 ₴

at 48.02

Steam

×2

Souvenir MP9 | Old Roots

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0064

124.18 ₴

at 62.09

souvenirSteam

×1

P90 | Verdant Growth

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0773

26.20 ₴

at 26.20

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 486.54 ₴ +66.06 (+13.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −119 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Souvenir M249 | Midnight Palm

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1657

61.42 ₴

at 30.71

souvenirSteam

×6

Souvenir MP9 | Old Roots

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

372.55 ₴

at 62.09

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1657

27.60 ₴

at 13.80

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 461.56 ₴ +81.80 (+17.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −50 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

M249 | Midnight Palm

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

48.02 ₴

at 48.02

Steam

×5

Souvenir MP9 | Old Roots

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

310.46 ₴

at 62.09

souvenirSteam

×4

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1627

55.19 ₴

at 13.80

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 413.67 ₴ +111.19 (+26.9%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 33%
Losing outcome 68%

at a loss

M249 | Humidor

Factory New

float up to 0.063636

201.50 ₴ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Music Box

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

336.82 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Factory New

float up to 0.062363

195.10 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Purple DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 425.76 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

G3SG1 | New Roots

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

452.67 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

Galil AR | Amber Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.050909

1 027.62 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

Nova | Quick Sand

Factory New

float up to 0.063636

479.54 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

P250 | Black & Tan

Factory New

float up to 0.063636

624.69 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The 2021 Mirage Collection

Variant 2 The Nuke Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection Variant 3 The Nuke Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 4 only The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 5 The Radiant Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection Variant 6 The Boreal Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +70.80 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +110.69 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Dust 2 Collection and The 2021 Mirage Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2053622 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The 2021 Vertigo Collection · profit 151.75₴ · invest 335.73₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Souvenir UMP-45 | Mechanism (Factory New) instead of Souvenir MP9 | Old Roots (Factory New); P90 | Verdant Growth (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074008 instead of 0.074015; Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Factory New): float at most 0.003507 instead of 0.003513

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The 2021 Mirage Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

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How to build