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The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Ancient Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Average profit +49.47₽

Invest 126.56₽

Average return 176.03₽

ROI +39.1%

Chance of profit 55%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 321.21₽ · profit at most −145.18₽ (−45.2%) · chance of profit at most 0%

The estimate is made from the market at the time of the nightly check. Since then cheap listings with the needed float may have been bought or relisted. The «Check floats on Steam» button shows the current price.

The float window is very narrow: less than 30% of the wear range fits. The markup was not measured for such a case. The purchase will cost at least the stated number of times more. How much more is unknown, so the investment is shown as “at least” and the profit as “at most”.

Souvenir MP7 | Prey (Minimal Wear) × 9 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.63 101.79 → 267.71 ₽

Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 24.77 → 53.50 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

+ a third collection

How to build

5% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 5% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×9

Souvenir MP7 | Prey

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

101.79 ₽

at 11.31

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

24.77 ₽

at 24.77

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 126.56 ₽ +49.47 (+39.1%)

8% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 8% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×5

Souvenir MP7 | Prey

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

56.55 ₽

at 11.31

souvenirSteam

×4

Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

74.48 ₽

at 18.62

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

24.77 ₽

at 24.77

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 155.80 ₽ +43.98 (+28.2%)

7% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 7% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×6

Souvenir MP7 | Prey

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

67.86 ₽

at 11.31

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1670

55.86 ₽

at 18.62

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

24.77 ₽

at 24.77

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 148.49 ₽ +45.36 (+30.5%)

7% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 7% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×7

Souvenir MP7 | Prey

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

79.17 ₽

at 11.31

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1654

37.24 ₽

at 18.62

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

24.77 ₽

at 24.77

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 141.18 ₽ +46.73 (+33.1%)

6% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 6% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×8

Souvenir MP7 | Prey

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

90.48 ₽

at 11.31

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

18.62 ₽

at 18.62

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

24.77 ₽

at 24.77

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 133.87 ₽ +48.10 (+35.9%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 45%

at a loss

AUG | Spalted Wood

Factory New

float up to 0.067199

133.17 ₽ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Five-SeveN | Withered Vine

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

294.61 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

M249 | Midnight Palm

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

124.56 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Old Roots

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

230.08 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Silver

Factory New

float up to 0.011199

185.77 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

G3SG1 | Ancient Ritual

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.106399

315.41 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

best

P2000 | Panther Camo

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

342.15 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Tall Grass

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.090999

212.26 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Ancient Collection

Variant 2 The Safehouse Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection Variant 3 The Lake Collection instead of The Ancient Collection Variant 4 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Ancient Collection Variant 5 The Lake Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection Variant 6 The Overpass Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +14.88 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +34.90 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Dust 2 Collection and The Ancient Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Ancient Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build