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The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Ancient Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Average profit +18.84₽

Invest 172.79₽

Average return 191.63₽

ROI +10.9%

Chance of profit 68%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 425.83₽ · profit at most −234.20₽ (−55.0%) · chance of profit at most 0%

The estimate is made from the market at the time of the nightly check. Since then cheap listings with the needed float may have been bought or relisted. The «Check floats on Steam» button shows the current price.

The float window is very narrow: less than 30% of the wear range fits. The markup was not measured for such a case. The purchase will cost at least the stated number of times more. How much more is unknown, so the investment is shown as “at least” and the profit as “at most”.

Souvenir Sawed-Off | Parched (Field-Tested) × 1 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 6.99 → 15.10 ₽

Souvenir P90 | Ancient Earth (Field-Tested) × 2 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 35.46 → 78.37 ₽

Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Field-Tested) × 7 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.55 130.34 → 332.37 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

+ a third collection

How to build

6% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 6% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×1

Souvenir Sawed-Off | Parched

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1639

6.99 ₽

at 6.99

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir P90 | Ancient Earth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1639

35.46 ₽

at 17.73

souvenirSteam

×7

Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1639

130.34 ₽

at 18.62

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 172.79 ₽ +18.84 (+10.9%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 68%
Losing outcome 33%

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Silver

Factory New

float up to 0.015789

185.77 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

G3SG1 | Ancient Ritual

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

315.41 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Panther Camo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.098684

224.13 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Tall Grass

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.128289

212.26 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

AUG | Spalted Wood

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.094736

94.08 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

Five-SeveN | Withered Vine

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.098684

93.40 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

M249 | Midnight Palm

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.098684

88.92 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Old Roots

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.098684

100.40 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Ancient Collection

Variant 2 The Safehouse Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection Variant 3 The Lake Collection instead of The Ancient Collection Variant 4 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Ancient Collection Variant 5 The Lake Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection Variant 6 The Overpass Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −16.88 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +6.92 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Dust 2 Collection and The Ancient Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2053685 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ancient Collection · profit 19.23₽ · invest 169.41₽
sells slowly

Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Field-Tested) instead of Souvenir Sawed-Off | Parched (Field-Tested); Souvenir P90 | Ancient Earth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166337 instead of 0.163948; Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166337 instead of 0.163948

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Ancient Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build