The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ancient Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Prices by float: this craft was not checked against the market at night (only the best are) or there were not enough listings. The numbers below are at average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will count by live listings right now.

Average profit +48.58₴

Invest 104.99₴

Average return 153.58₴

ROI +46.3%

Chance of profit 68%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 251.43₴ · profit at most −97.85₴ (−38.9%) · chance of profit at most 0%

The estimate is made from the market at the time of the nightly check. Since then cheap listings with the needed float may have been bought or relisted. The «Check floats on Steam» button shows the current price.

The float window is very narrow: less than 30% of the wear range fits. The markup was not measured for such a case. The purchase will cost at least the stated number of times more. How much more is unknown, so the investment is shown as “at least” and the profit as “at most”.

Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Factory New) × 1 7% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 6.50 → 14.03 ₴

Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Field-Tested) × 6 7% of the wear range fits at least ×2.51 59.15 → 148.47 ₴

Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New) × 3 7% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 39.35 → 88.92 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

+ a third collection

How to build

7% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 7% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×1

Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

6.50 ₴

at 6.50

souvenirSteam

×6

Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1663

59.15 ₴

at 9.86

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

39.35 ₴

at 13.12

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 104.99 ₴ +48.58 (+46.3%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 68%
Losing outcome 33%

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Silver

Factory New

float up to 0.007368

98.36 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

G3SG1 | Ancient Ritual

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

239.32 ₴ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Panther Camo

Factory New

float up to 0.046052

181.16 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Tall Grass

Factory New

float up to 0.059868

231.51 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Factory New

float up to 0.046052

61.96 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Factory New

float up to 0.055263

69.68 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | CaliCamo

Factory New

float up to 0.055263

109.92 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Verdant Growth

Factory New

float up to 0.043289

69.94 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ancient Collection

Variant 2 The Lake Collection instead of The Ancient Collection Variant 3 The Safehouse Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 4 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Ancient Collection Variant 5 The Lake Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 6 The Dust 2 Collection instead of The Ancient Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +13.54 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +32.51 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Ancient Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 14 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2058119 · The Ancient Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 47.96₴ · invest 99.94₴
sells slowly

SCAR-20 | Contractor (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Factory New); Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165299 instead of 0.166345; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.004656 instead of 0.004974
Craft 2057429 · The Ancient Collection + The Ascent Collection · profit 47.86₴ · invest 100.09₴
sells slowly

P90 | Blue Tac (Factory New) instead of Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Factory New); Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162460 instead of 0.166345; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.003792 instead of 0.004974
Craft 2057486 · The Ancient Collection + The Boreal Collection · profit 47.86₴ · invest 99.99₴
sells slowly

M249 | Sage Camo (Factory New) instead of Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Factory New); Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162460 instead of 0.166345; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.003792 instead of 0.004974
Craft 2057672 · The Ancient Collection + The Dust 2 Collection · profit 47.83₴ · invest 100.00₴
sells slowly

MP9 | Sand Dashed (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Factory New); Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165299 instead of 0.166345; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.004656 instead of 0.004974
Craft 2057430 · The Ancient Collection + The Ascent Collection · profit 47.73₴ · invest 100.09₴
sells slowly

P90 | Blue Tac (Factory New) instead of Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Factory New); Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166410 instead of 0.166345; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.004994 instead of 0.004974
Craft 2057804 · The Ancient Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 47.68₴ · invest 99.93₴
sells slowly

FAMAS | Byproduct (Factory New) instead of Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Factory New)
Craft 2056504 · The Achroma Collection + The Ancient Collection · profit 47.62₴ · invest 99.91₴
sells slowly

PP-Bizon | Bizoom (Factory New) instead of Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Factory New); Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162125 instead of 0.166345; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.003690 instead of 0.004974
Craft 2058239 · The Ancient Collection + The Train Collection · profit 47.60₴ · invest 100.46₴
sells slowly

PP-Bizon | Urban Dashed (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Factory New); Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165299 instead of 0.166345; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.004656 instead of 0.004974
Craft 2057487 · The Ancient Collection + The Boreal Collection · profit 47.59₴ · invest 99.99₴
sells slowly

M249 | Sage Camo (Factory New) instead of Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Factory New); Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166410 instead of 0.166345; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.004994 instead of 0.004974
Craft 2056505 · The Achroma Collection + The Ancient Collection · profit 47.50₴ · invest 99.91₴
sells slowly

PP-Bizon | Bizoom (Factory New) instead of Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Factory New); Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166385 instead of 0.166345; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.004986 instead of 0.004974
Craft 2058040 · The Ancient Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 47.49₴ · invest 99.98₴
sells slowly

Nova | Marsh Grass (Factory New) instead of Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Factory New)
Craft 2057889 · The Ancient Collection + The Lake Collection · profit 47.39₴ · invest 100.33₴
sells slowly

G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Factory New); Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165299 instead of 0.166345; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.004656 instead of 0.004974
Craft 2051266 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Ancient Collection · profit 47.20₴ · invest 100.29₴
sells slowly

UMP-45 | Mudder (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Factory New); Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165299 instead of 0.166345; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.004656 instead of 0.004974
Craft 2057860 · The Ancient Collection + The Italy Collection · profit 47.13₴ · invest 100.62₴
sells slowly

AUG | Contractor (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Factory New); Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165299 instead of 0.166345; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.004656 instead of 0.004974

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ancient Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build