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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Dust 2 Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Average profit +536.65₸

Invest 403.56₸

Average return 940.21₸

ROI +133.0%

Chance of profit 90%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 996.82₸ · profit at most −56.55₸ (−5.7%) · chance of profit at most 30%

The estimate is made from the market at the time of the nightly check. Since then cheap listings with the needed float may have been bought or relisted. The «Check floats on Steam» button shows the current price.

The float window is very narrow: less than 30% of the wear range fits. The markup was not measured for such a case. The purchase will cost at least the stated number of times more. How much more is unknown, so the investment is shown as “at least” and the profit as “at most”.

Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Factory New) × 5 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.47 327.93 → 809.98 ₸

MP9 | Sand Dashed (Minimal Wear) × 5 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.47 75.63 → 186.82 ₸

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

+ a third collection

How to build

6% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 6% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×5

Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

327.93 ₸

at 65.59

souvenirSteam

×5

MP9 | Sand Dashed

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

75.63 ₸

at 15.13

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 403.56 ₸ +536.65 (+133.0%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 10%

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

625.54 ₸ 12.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Factory New

float up to 0.008108

703.42 ₸ 12.50%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | CaliCamo

Factory New

float up to 0.008108

1 109.71 ₸ 12.50%

Steam

in profit

P90 | Verdant Growth

Factory New

float up to 0.006351

706.04 ₸ 12.50%

Steam

in profit

best

AK-47 | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3 323.46 ₸ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Five-SeveN | Orange Peel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 404.71 ₸ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MAC-10 | Palm

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 488.25 ₸ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

Sawed-Off | Snake Camo

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

495.55 ₸ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Tec-9 | VariCamo

Factory New

float up to 0.008108

169.60 ₸ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Dust 2 Collection

Variant 2 The Safehouse Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 3 The Lake Collection instead of The Dust 2 Collection Variant 4 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Dust 2 Collection Variant 5 The Harlequin Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 6 The Ancient Collection instead of The Dust 2 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +313.39 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +430.55 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Dust 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2051442 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Dust 2 Collection · profit 632.07₸ · invest 171.58₸
sells slowly

AUG | Sweeper (Factory New) instead of Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Factory New); MP9 | Sand Dashed (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074809 instead of 0.074592
Craft 2073869 · The Dust 2 Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 534.71₸ · invest 147.79₸
sells slowly

FAMAS | Byproduct (Factory New) instead of Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Factory New)
Craft 2060749 · The Ascent Collection + The Dust 2 Collection · profit 499.96₸ · invest 155.81₸
sells slowly

P90 | Blue Tac (Factory New) instead of Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Factory New); MP9 | Sand Dashed (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074809 instead of 0.074592
Craft 2061976 · The Boreal Collection + The Dust 2 Collection · profit 499.92₸ · invest 150.73₸
sells slowly

M249 | Sage Camo (Factory New) instead of Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Factory New); MP9 | Sand Dashed (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074809 instead of 0.074592
Craft 2056745 · The Achroma Collection + The Dust 2 Collection · profit 488.00₸ · invest 146.72₸
sells slowly

PP-Bizon | Bizoom (Factory New) instead of Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Factory New); MP9 | Sand Dashed (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074724 instead of 0.074592
Craft 2073978 · The Dust 2 Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 481.59₸ · invest 150.20₸
sells slowly

Nova | Marsh Grass (Factory New) instead of Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Factory New)

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Dust 2 Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build