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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Spy Tech Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +2 534.09₸

Invest 5 687.19₸

Average return 8 221.28₸

ROI +44.6%

Chance of profit 70%

With float: invest at least 14 070.54 ₸, profit at most −5 849.26 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir MP9 | Music Box

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

1 886.79 ₸

at 1 886.79

souvenirSteam

×9

AUG | Signal Scanner

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

3 800.41 ₸

at 422.27

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5 687.19 ₸ +2 534.09 (+44.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −12 778 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Souvenir MP9 | Music Box

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

4 176.44 ₸

at 1 392.15

souvenirSteam

×5

Souvenir MP9 | Music Box

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

9 433.94 ₸

at 1 886.79

souvenirSteam

×1

AUG | Signal Scanner

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1663

203.54 ₸

at 203.54

Steam

×1

AUG | Signal Scanner

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

422.27 ₸

at 422.27

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 14 236.19 ₸ +513.46 (+3.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 002 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

1 374.83 ₸

at 1 374.83

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir MP9 | Music Box

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

3 773.57 ₸

at 1 886.79

souvenirSteam

×7

AUG | Signal Scanner

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

2 955.87 ₸

at 422.27

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 8 104.28 ₸ +1 982.25 (+24.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −8 886 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Souvenir MP9 | Music Box

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

2 784.29 ₸

at 1 392.15

souvenirSteam

×4

Souvenir MP9 | Music Box

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

7 547.15 ₸

at 1 886.79

souvenirSteam

×1

AUG | Signal Scanner

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1654

203.54 ₸

at 203.54

Steam

×3

AUG | Signal Scanner

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

1 266.80 ₸

at 422.27

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 11 801.79 ₸ +1 082.61 (+9.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −6 877 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

2 749.66 ₸

at 1 374.83

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir MP9 | Music Box

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

5 660.36 ₸

at 1 886.79

souvenirSteam

×5

AUG | Signal Scanner

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

2 111.34 ₸

at 422.27

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 10 521.36 ₸ +1 430.42 (+13.6%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 30%
About break-even 30%

in profit

AWP | Black Box

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

12 928.92 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

5 551.11 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

Nova | Smart Gun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6 665.79 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

AUG | Sand Storm

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

19 064.15 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

19 397.63 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

float up to 0.025899

18 859.70 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Spy Tech Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Spy Tech Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Spy Tech Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Spy Tech Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1 333.08 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2 149.45 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Spy Tech Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2089608 · The Spy Tech Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 2 507.64₸ · invest 4 843.73₸
rare inputs

MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New) instead of Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Factory New); AUG | Signal Scanner (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076609
Craft 2059739 · The Arabesque Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 2 504.82₸ · invest 4 709.08₸
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Factory New) instead of Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Factory New); AUG | Signal Scanner (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.076609
Craft 2084393 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 2 389.52₸ · invest 5 168.23₸
rare inputs

P90 | Cocoa Rampage (Factory New) instead of Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Factory New); AUG | Signal Scanner (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076693 instead of 0.076609
Craft 2089623 · The Spy Tech Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 2 295.29₸ · invest 5 938.31₸
outcome without sales rare inputs

MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New) instead of Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Factory New); AUG | Signal Scanner (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075423 instead of 0.076609

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Spy Tech Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

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How to build