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The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Breakout Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +3 606.24₴

Invest 27 330.36₴

Average return 30 936.59₴

ROI +13.2%

Chance of profit 50%

With float: invest at least 66 641.14 ₴, profit at most −35 704.54 ₴

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −22 164.84 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

21 296.94 ₴

at 4 259.39

souvenirSteam

×1

Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

1 128.46 ₴

at 1 128.46

Steam

×4

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

4 904.96 ₴

at 1 226.24

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 27 330.36 ₴ +3 606.24 (+13.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −5 169 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1695

3 851.79 ₴

at 3 851.79

souvenirSteam

×3

Glock-18 | Water Elemental

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

3 122.57 ₴

at 1 040.86

Steam

×6

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

7 357.44 ₴

at 1 226.24

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 14 331.79 ₴ +120.36 (+0.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −698 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1632

3 851.79 ₴

at 3 851.79

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

12 778.16 ₴

at 4 259.39

souvenirSteam

×6

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

7 357.44 ₴

at 1 226.24

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 23 987.39 ₴ +2 828.10 (+11.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 544 ₴

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1624

7 703.58 ₴

at 3 851.79

souvenirSteam

×1

Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

1 128.46 ₴

at 1 128.46

Steam

×7

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

8 583.68 ₴

at 1 226.24

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 17 415.71 ₴ +1 157.55 (+6.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 178 ₴

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1622

3 851.79 ₴

at 3 851.79

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

8 518.77 ₴

at 4 259.39

souvenirSteam

×2

Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

2 256.92 ₴

at 1 128.46

Steam

×5

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

6 131.20 ₴

at 1 226.24

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 20 758.68 ₴ +1 935.69 (+9.3%)

What you get 3 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Imminent Danger

Factory New

float up to 0.060869

52 594.03 ₴ 50.00%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

worst

M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

float up to 0.038043

10 245.00 ₴ 25.00%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Asiimov

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

13 516.39 ₴ 25.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Breakout Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 3 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 4 The Fracture Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 5 The Gamma Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 6 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Breakout Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +3 055.95 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +3 346.84 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Vertigo Collection and The Breakout Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2055819 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 3 886.27₴ · invest 26 128.30₴
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New) instead of Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Minimal Wear), Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077317 instead of 0.074567
Craft 2056061 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 3 595.80₴ · invest 25 305.10₴
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Justice (Factory New) instead of Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Minimal Wear), Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077882 instead of 0.074567
Craft 2055419 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit 3 006.93₴ · invest 22 969.51₴
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Muertos (Factory New) instead of Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Minimal Wear), Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 5; Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077799 instead of 0.074567

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Breakout Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 3 outcomes

More

How to build