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The Ancient Collection + The Overpass Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +50.59₴

Invest 109.79₴

Average return 160.38₴

ROI +46.1%

Chance of profit 72%

With float: invest at least 263.19 ₴, profit at most −102.80 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

7% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1657

49.29 ₴

at 9.86

souvenirSteam

×4

Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

52.46 ₴

at 13.12

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1657

8.04 ₴

at 8.04

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 109.79 ₴ +50.59 (+46.1%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 73%
Losing outcome 25%
About break-even 2%

at a loss

worst

CZ75-Auto | Silver

Factory New

float up to 0.007368

98.36 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

G3SG1 | Ancient Ritual

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

239.32 ₴ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Panther Camo

Factory New

float up to 0.046052

181.16 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Tall Grass

Factory New

float up to 0.059868

231.51 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

Desert Eagle | Urban DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.128157

164.84 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Night

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.128157

224.77 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

P2000 | Grassland

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.128157

111.60 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

about break-even

MP7 | Gunsmoke

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.128157

123.25 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Ancient Collection + The Overpass Collection

Variant 2 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Overpass Collection Variant 3 The Lake Collection instead of The Overpass Collection Variant 4 The Anubis Collection instead of The Overpass Collection Variant 5 The Ascent Collection instead of The Overpass Collection Variant 6 The Boreal Collection instead of The Overpass Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +13.95 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +34.22 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Ancient Collection and The Overpass Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2055090 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Ancient Collection · profit 47.34₴ · invest 117.26₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Oil Change (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested); Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165025 instead of 0.165725; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.004572 instead of 0.004786

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Ancient Collection + The Overpass Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build