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The Arabesque Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +4.71$

Invest 8.98$

Average return 13.69$

ROI +52.4%

Chance of profit 90%

With float: invest at least 23.21 $, profit at most −9.53 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

8.12 $

at 0.90

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

0.86 $

at 0.86

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 8.98 $ +4.71 (+52.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MAC-10 | Arabesque Mosaic

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1738

0.44 $

at 0.44

Steam

×4

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0782

1.85 $

at 0.46

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0072

4.28 $

at 0.86

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6.57 $ +1.28 (+19.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

MAC-10 | Arabesque Mosaic

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1734

1.32 $

at 0.44

Steam

×1

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0781

0.46 $

at 0.46

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0071

5.13 $

at 0.86

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6.92 $ +2.40 (+34.6%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 10%

in profit

best

AUG | Lapis Lazuli

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

20.60 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

14.13 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

P250 | Lotus Imprint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

14.99 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

AWP | Exothermic

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

8.15 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

8.24 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Arabesque Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Arabesque Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Arabesque Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2.96 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +4.32 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Arabesque Collection and The Harlequin Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 29 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2059683 · The Arabesque Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 4.93$ · invest 8.61$
UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2059215 · The Arabesque Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit 4.88$ · invest 8.70$
M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2059205 · The Arabesque Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit 4.88$ · invest 8.47$
Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074590 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2059124 · The Arabesque Collection + The Ascent Collection · profit 4.86$ · invest 9.02$
P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076693 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2059311 · The Arabesque Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 4.84$ · invest 8.84$
UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New)
Craft 2059257 · The Arabesque Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit 4.83$ · invest 8.43$
Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074729 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2059367 · The Arabesque Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 4.82$ · invest 8.64$
rare inputs

P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074193 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2059635 · The Arabesque Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 4.82$ · invest 8.78$
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2059159 · The Arabesque Collection + The Boreal Collection · profit 4.81$ · invest 8.52$
MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076693 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2059228 · The Arabesque Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit 4.81$ · invest 9.02$
rare inputs

XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2059596 · The Arabesque Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 4.79$ · invest 8.91$
M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2059280 · The Arabesque Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 4.78$ · invest 8.36$
SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076644 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2059707 · The Arabesque Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 4.76$ · invest 8.64$
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2059548 · The Arabesque Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 4.75$ · invest 8.87$
rare inputs

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076256 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2059331 · The Arabesque Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 4.75$ · invest 8.46$
SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New)
Craft 2059665 · The Arabesque Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 4.75$ · invest 9.15$
rare inputs

MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2059462 · The Arabesque Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 4.74$ · invest 8.43$
Nova | Dark Sigil (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076827 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2059345 · The Arabesque Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 4.73$ · invest 8.80$
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076832 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2056556 · The Achroma Collection + The Arabesque Collection · profit 4.71$ · invest 8.89$
P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076765 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2059726 · The Arabesque Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 4.70$ · invest 9.03$
rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | Small Game (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New)
Craft 2059694 · The Arabesque Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 4.69$ · invest 8.55$
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2059558 · The Arabesque Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 4.68$ · invest 8.67$
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076693 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2059239 · The Arabesque Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 4.67$ · invest 8.51$
rare inputs

XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New)
Craft 2059175 · The Arabesque Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit 4.66$ · invest 8.70$
rare inputs

Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2059607 · The Arabesque Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 4.64$ · invest 8.53$
Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New)
Craft 2059186 · The Arabesque Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit 4.62$ · invest 8.92$
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076723 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2059622 · The Arabesque Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 4.60$ · invest 8.53$
SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076915 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2059377 · The Arabesque Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 4.49$ · invest 8.92$
rare inputs

MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2059272 · The Arabesque Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 4.48$ · invest 8.94$
UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.076829

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Arabesque Collection + The Harlequin Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build