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The Ascent Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +137.75₴

Invest 260.85₴

Average return 398.60₴

ROI +52.8%

Chance of profit 57%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 609.89₴ · profit at most −211.29₴ (−34.6%) · chance of profit at most 30%

The estimate is made from the market at the time of the nightly check. Since then cheap listings with the needed float may have been bought or relisted. The «Check floats on Steam» button shows the current price.

The float window is very narrow: less than 30% of the wear range fits. The markup was not measured for such a case. The purchase will cost at least the stated number of times more. How much more is unknown, so the investment is shown as “at least” and the profit as “at most”.

P2000 | Royal Baroque (Minimal Wear) × 2 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 45.33 → 100.19 ₴

P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New) × 4 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 161.30 → 381.47 ₴

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) × 4 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 54.22 → 128.23 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

+ a third collection

How to build

6% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 6% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×2

P2000 | Royal Baroque

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

45.33 ₴

at 22.67

Steam

×4

P90 | Reef Grief

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

161.30 ₴

at 40.32

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1639

54.22 ₴

at 13.55

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 260.85 ₴ +137.75 (+52.8%)

8% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 8% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×3

P90 | Reef Grief

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

120.97 ₴

at 40.32

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1687

54.22 ₴

at 13.55

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

112.78 ₴

at 37.59

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 287.97 ₴ +103.20 (+35.8%)

8% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 8% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×1

P90 | Reef Grief

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

40.32 ₴

at 40.32

Steam

×2

FAMAS | 2A2F

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1679

22.24 ₴

at 11.12

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

263.15 ₴

at 37.59

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 325.71 ₴ +60.49 (+18.6%)

6% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 6% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×6

P2000 | Royal Baroque

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

136.00 ₴

at 22.67

Steam

×3

P90 | Reef Grief

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

120.97 ₴

at 40.32

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1638

13.55 ₴

at 13.55

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 270.53 ₴ +135.51 (+50.1%)

6% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 6% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×5

P90 | Reef Grief

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

201.62 ₴

at 40.32

Steam

×3

FAMAS | 2A2F

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

33.36 ₴

at 11.12

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

27.11 ₴

at 13.55

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 262.09 ₴ +134.03 (+51.1%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 57%
Losing outcome 43%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Midnight Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

705.32 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

USP-S | Royal Guard

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

234.27 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

float up to 0.065333

397.05 ₴ 13.33%

Steam

at a loss

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.093333

252.19 ₴ 13.33%

Steam

in profit

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.147733

674.62 ₴ 13.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Ascent Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 only The Train 2025 Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Ascent Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Ascent Collection Variant 5 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Ascent Collection Variant 6 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Ascent Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +86.88 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +119.16 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Ascent Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Ascent Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build