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The Breakout Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +64.88$

Invest 126.43$

Average return 191.31$

ROI +51.3%

Chance of profit 100%

With float: invest at least 319.69 $, profit at most −128.38 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

27.28 $

at 27.28

Steam

×9

P90 | Deathgaze

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

99.15 $

at 11.02

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 126.43 $ +64.88 (+51.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0064

81.84 $

at 27.28

Steam

×1

P250 | Kintsugi

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1712

6.00 $

at 6.00

Steam

×6

P90 | Deathgaze

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0773

66.10 $

at 11.02

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 153.94 $ +45.93 (+29.8%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

25.10 $

at 25.10

Steam

×1

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

27.28 $

at 27.28

Steam

×8

P90 | Deathgaze

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

88.14 $

at 11.02

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 140.52 $ +55.07 (+39.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −13 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

109.11 $

at 27.28

Steam

×2

P250 | Kintsugi

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1661

12.01 $

at 6.00

Steam

×4

P90 | Deathgaze

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

44.07 $

at 11.02

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 165.19 $ +38.96 (+23.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −33 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

136.39 $

at 27.28

Steam

×3

P250 | Kintsugi

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1625

18.01 $

at 6.00

Steam

×2

P90 | Deathgaze

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

22.03 $

at 11.02

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 176.43 $ +31.99 (+18.1%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 100%
Losing outcome 0%

in profit

AWP | Queen's Gambit

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

249.98 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

worst

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

180.20 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

227.91 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

best

P90 | Asiimov

Factory New

float up to 0.064399

300.68 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 3 The Genesis Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Genesis Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 5 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 6 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Breakout Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +37.41 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +54.71 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Dead Hand Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 9 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2071923 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit 67.92$ · invest 137.15$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Cyrex (Factory New) instead of Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.075874
Craft 2071896 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 66.56$ · invest 120.65$
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New) instead of Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076934 instead of 0.075874
Craft 2072106 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 65.27$ · invest 116.98$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Justice (Factory New) instead of Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.075874
Craft 2071661 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 64.87$ · invest 115.15$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New) instead of Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.075874
Craft 2071585 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 64.68$ · invest 115.38$
sells slowly rare inputs

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Factory New) instead of Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.075874
Craft 2072411 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 64.30$ · invest 117.88$
sells slowly rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Factory New) instead of Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076627 instead of 0.075874
Craft 2072498 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 64.07$ · invest 128.84$
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New) instead of Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076693 instead of 0.075874
Craft 2072343 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 62.66$ · invest 115.27$
sells slowly rare inputs

MP9 | Food Chain (Factory New) instead of Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.075874
Craft 2070404 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 62.25$ · invest 111.30$
sells slowly

UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New) instead of Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.075874

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build