The Chroma 3 Collection + The Shadow Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: this craft was not checked against the market at night (only the best are) or there were not enough listings. The numbers below are at average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will count by live listings right now.

Average profit +182.02₴

Invest 220.48₴

Average return 402.50₴

ROI +82.6%

Chance of profit 74%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 551.48₴ · profit at most −148.98₴ (−27.0%) · chance of profit at most 22%

The estimate is made from the market at the time of the nightly check. Since then cheap listings with the needed float may have been bought or relisted. The «Check floats on Steam» button shows the current price.

The float window is very narrow: less than 30% of the wear range fits. The markup was not measured for such a case. The purchase will cost at least the stated number of times more. How much more is unknown, so the investment is shown as “at least” and the profit as “at most”.

M249 | Spectre (Factory New) × 1 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 25.85 → 55.85 ₴

SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear) × 1 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 19.64 → 42.43 ₴

XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) × 8 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.59 174.98 → 453.20 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

+ a third collection

How to build

6% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 6% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×1

M249 | Spectre

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

25.85 ₴

at 25.85

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

19.64 ₴

at 19.64

Steam

×8

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

174.98 ₴

at 21.87

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 220.48 ₴ +182.02 (+82.6%)

7% of lots fit assemble: no data

Price understated: Only 7% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×2

Sawed-Off | Fubar

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4860

22.74 ₴

at 11.37

Steam

×4

M249 | Spectre

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

103.42 ₴

at 25.85

Steam

×4

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

78.57 ₴

at 19.64

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 204.73 ₴ +126.21 (+61.6%)

6% of lots fit assemble: no data

Price understated: Only 6% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×4

Sawed-Off | Fubar

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4843

45.47 ₴

at 11.37

Steam

×5

M249 | Spectre

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

129.27 ₴

at 25.85

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

19.64 ₴

at 19.64

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 194.39 ₴ +93.61 (+48.2%)

6% of lots fit assemble: no data

Price understated: Only 6% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×1

Sawed-Off | Fubar

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4813

11.37 ₴

at 11.37

Steam

×3

M249 | Spectre

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

77.56 ₴

at 25.85

Steam

×5

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

98.22 ₴

at 19.64

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

21.87 ₴

at 21.87

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 209.02 ₴ +150.54 (+72.0%)

6% of lots fit assemble: no data

Price understated: Only 6% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×2

Sawed-Off | Fubar

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4802

22.74 ₴

at 11.37

Steam

×3

M249 | Spectre

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

77.56 ₴

at 25.85

Steam

×2

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

39.29 ₴

at 19.64

Steam

×3

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

65.62 ₴

at 21.87

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 205.20 ₴ +140.04 (+68.2%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 74%
Losing outcome 26%

in profit

best

Galil AR | Stone Cold

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

997.43 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

341.43 ₴ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.043399

223.76 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

P250 | Wingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

354.72 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Red Astor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

192.62 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

Galil AR | Firefight

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

448.64 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

SSG 08 | Ghost Crusader

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

447.80 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

Tec-9 | Re-Entry

Factory New

float up to 0.030099

304.78 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

XM1014 | Black Tie

Factory New

float up to 0.052499

179.82 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Chroma 3 Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Chroma 3 Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Chroma 3 Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +103.68 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +144.73 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Chroma 3 Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 26 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

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sells slowly rare inputs

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rare inputs

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rare inputs

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rare inputs

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rare inputs

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sells slowly rare inputs

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rare inputs

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sells slowly rare inputs

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rare inputs

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sells slowly rare inputs

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rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) instead of M249 | Spectre (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074867 instead of 0.074772; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074867 instead of 0.074772
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rare inputs

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sells slowly rare inputs

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rare inputs

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rare inputs

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rare inputs

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rare inputs

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rare inputs

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New) instead of M249 | Spectre (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074999 instead of 0.074772; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074999 instead of 0.074772
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sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

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rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of M249 | Spectre (Factory New)
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rare inputs

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rare inputs

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sells slowly rare inputs

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rare inputs

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rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of M249 | Spectre (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074924 instead of 0.074772; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074924 instead of 0.074772
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rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) instead of M249 | Spectre (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075061 instead of 0.074772; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075061 instead of 0.074772

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Chroma 3 Collection + The Shadow Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build