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The Danger Zone Collection + The Genesis Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +93.75$

Invest 108.41$

Average return 202.16$

ROI +86.5%

Chance of profit 90%

With float: invest at least 279.41 $, profit at most −77.25 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

8% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

12.14 $

at 12.14

Steam

×9

Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

96.27 $

at 10.70

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 108.41 $ +93.75 (+86.5%)

12% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0080

36.43 $

at 12.14

Steam

×1

Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1764

5.18 $

at 5.18

Steam

×6

Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0792

64.18 $

at 10.70

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 105.79 $ +63.04 (+59.6%)

9% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

48.58 $

at 12.14

Steam

×2

Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1705

10.37 $

at 5.18

Steam

×4

Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0771

42.78 $

at 10.70

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 101.73 $ +50.45 (+49.6%)

7% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

60.72 $

at 12.14

Steam

×3

Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1663

15.55 $

at 5.18

Steam

×2

Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

21.39 $

at 10.70

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 97.66 $ +37.85 (+38.8%)

7% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Momentum

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

6.82 $

at 6.82

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

72.86 $

at 12.14

Steam

×3

Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1649

15.55 $

at 5.18

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 95.23 $ +6.95 (+7.3%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 10%

in profit

best

AK-47 | The Oligarch

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

290.64 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Full Throttle

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

212.65 $ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

AK-47 | Asiimov

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.095499

63.98 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

AWP | Neo-Noir

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

56.08 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The Genesis Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 3 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 4 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 5 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 6 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +62.34 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +80.63 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Genesis Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2079456 · The Genesis Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit 99.42$ · invest 134.26$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Cyrex (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New)
Craft 2079814 · The Genesis Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 94.16$ · invest 112.38$
sells slowly rare inputs

MP9 | Food Chain (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.076511
Craft 2077929 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 93.72$ · invest 123.13$
sells slowly rare inputs

MP9 | Airlock (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.076511
Craft 2079840 · The Genesis Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 91.92$ · invest 123.12$
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | High Roller (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.076511
Craft 2076908 · The Gallery Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 91.82$ · invest 118.08$
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Epicenter (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076934 instead of 0.076511
Craft 2068413 · The Chroma Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 90.60$ · invest 118.26$
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Muertos (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076693 instead of 0.076511

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Danger Zone Collection + The Genesis Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build