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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Shadow Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +3.17$

Invest 4.37$

Average return 7.54$

ROI +72.4%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest at least 10.52 $, profit at most −2.98 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

0.24 $

at 0.24

Steam

×5

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

2.18 $

at 0.44

Steam

×4

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

1.95 $

at 0.49

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4.37 $ +3.17 (+72.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MAC-10 | Ensnared

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

0.17 $

at 0.17

Steam

×3

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

0.72 $

at 0.24

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1638

0.30 $

at 0.30

Steam

×5

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

2.18 $

at 0.44

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3.38 $ +2.09 (+61.8%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 33%
About break-even 22%

in profit

best

Galil AR | Stone Cold

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

22.19 $ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077777

2.81 $ 22.50%

Steam

about break-even

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.048222

4.98 $ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

P250 | Wingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7.89 $ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

PP-Bizon | Space Cat

Factory New

float up to 0.052111

1.39 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

G3SG1 | Dream Glade

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077777

1.11 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A1-S | Night Terror

Factory New

float up to 0.054444

1.78 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Ticket to Hell

Factory New

float up to 0.059111

2.05 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

XM1014 | Zombie Offensive

Factory New

float up to 0.038888

1.18 $ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.68 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2.42 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 8 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2085348 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.36$ · invest 4.77$
rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.075114; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.075114
Craft 2061130 · The Ascent Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.29$ · invest 5.03$
rare inputs

P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075148 instead of 0.075114; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075148 instead of 0.075114
Craft 2062409 · The Boreal Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.24$ · invest 4.52$
rare inputs

MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075148 instead of 0.075114; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075148 instead of 0.075114
Craft 2088555 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 3.12$ · invest 4.56$
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.075114; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.075114
Craft 2088591 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 3.10$ · invest 4.65$
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.075114; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.075114
Craft 2083190 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.07$ · invest 4.44$
rare inputs

Nova | Dark Sigil (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075240 instead of 0.075114; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075240 instead of 0.075114
Craft 2076519 · The Fracture Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.06$ · invest 4.47$
rare inputs

SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075241 instead of 0.075114; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075241 instead of 0.075114
Craft 2079098 · The Gamma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.06$ · invest 4.68$
rare inputs

SG 553 | Aerial (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075148 instead of 0.075114; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075148 instead of 0.075114

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build