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The Fever Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +11.00$

Invest 19.10$

Average return 30.10$

ROI +57.6%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 46.53 $, profit at most −16.43 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

Zeus x27 | Tosai

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

9.36 $

at 1.56

Steam

×4

MAG-7 | Praetorian

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

9.74 $

at 2.43

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 19.10 $ +11.00 (+57.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −0 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Zeus x27 | Tosai

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

7.80 $

at 1.56

Steam

×4

MAG-7 | Praetorian

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

9.74 $

at 2.43

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Praetorian

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

5.60 $

at 5.60

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 23.14 $ +10.45 (+45.2%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

at a loss

AK-47 | Searing Rage

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

19.91 $ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Shinobu

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

19.80 $ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

16.00 $ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AWP | Elite Build

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

75.47 $ 13.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon

Factory New

float up to 0.053199

75.07 $ 13.33%

Steam

in profit

Nova | Hyper Beast

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

25.50 $ 13.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fever Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 3 The Huntsman Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 4 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 5 The Glove Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 6 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +6.64 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +9.08 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fever Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2073730 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 12.20$ · invest 16.92$
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New); MAG-7 | Praetorian (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074011 instead of 0.074745
Craft 2089277 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 9.68$ · invest 25.32$
sells slowly rare inputs

SG 553 | Phantom (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New); MAG-7 | Praetorian (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 4; MAG-7 | Praetorian (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077724 instead of 0.074745
Craft 2089278 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 9.53$ · invest 25.18$
sells slowly rare inputs

SG 553 | Phantom (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New); MAG-7 | Praetorian (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074409 instead of 0.074745
Craft 2083432 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 9.40$ · invest 17.74$
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New); MAG-7 | Praetorian (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074477 instead of 0.074745
Craft 2070033 · The Clutch Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 9.25$ · invest 19.81$
sells slowly rare inputs

Negev | Lionfish (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New); MAG-7 | Praetorian (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074219 instead of 0.074745

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fever Collection + The Wildfire Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build