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The Fever Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +14 914.65₸

Invest 39 484.36₸

Average return 54 399.01₸

ROI +37.8%

Chance of profit 55%

With float: invest at least 95 240.03 ₸, profit at most −40 841.02 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

23 148.38 ₸

at 2 893.55

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

7 260.54 ₸

at 7 260.54

Steam

×1

P250 | Mehndi

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

9 075.44 ₸

at 9 075.44

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 39 484.36 ₸ +14 914.65 (+37.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 209 ₸

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

20 254.83 ₸

at 2 893.55

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

7 260.54 ₸

at 7 260.54

Steam

×2

P250 | Mehndi

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

18 150.87 ₸

at 9 075.44

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 45 666.25 ₸ +10 059.91 (+22.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −14 698 ₸

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

17 361.29 ₸

at 2 893.55

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

7 260.54 ₸

at 7 260.54

Steam

×3

P250 | Mehndi

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

27 226.31 ₸

at 9 075.44

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 51 848.14 ₸ +5 205.17 (+10.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −26 187 ₸

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

14 467.74 ₸

at 2 893.55

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

7 260.54 ₸

at 7 260.54

Steam

×4

P250 | Mehndi

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

36 301.75 ₸

at 9 075.44

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 58 030.03 ₸ +350.43 (+0.6%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 45%

in profit

AWP | Printstream

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

79 475.55 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

FAMAS | Bad Trip

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

42 589.68 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Asiimov

Field-Tested

float up to 0.237399

101 998.92 ₸ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Sawed-Off | The Kraken

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

50 590.91 ₸ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fever Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

Variant 2 The Genesis Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 3 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 4 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 5 The Horizon Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 6 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +7 974.28 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +12 757.50 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fever Collection and The Winter Offensive Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2075866 · The Fever Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 15 874.16₸ · invest 36 067.04₸
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Cartel (Minimal Wear) instead of P250 | Mehndi (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074571 instead of 0.077088; UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New): float at most 0.003999 instead of 0.006202

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fever Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build