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The Harlequin Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +447.78₽

Invest 1 166.85₽

Average return 1 614.63₽

ROI +38.4%

Chance of profit 80%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 2 775.54₽ · profit at most −1 160.91₽ (−41.8%) · chance of profit at most 16%

The estimate is made from the market at the time of the nightly check. Since then cheap listings with the needed float may have been bought or relisted. The «Check floats on Steam» button shows the current price.

The float window is very narrow: less than 30% of the wear range fits. The markup was not measured for such a case. The purchase will cost at least the stated number of times more. How much more is unknown, so the investment is shown as “at least” and the profit as “at most”.

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New) × 2 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 145.20 → 320.89 ₽

P250 | Contaminant (Minimal Wear) × 3 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 327.75 → 740.71 ₽

MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Minimal Wear) × 5 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.47 693.90 → 1 713.93 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

+ a third collection

How to build

5% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 5% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×2

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

145.20 ₽

at 72.60

Steam

×3

P250 | Contaminant

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

327.75 ₽

at 109.25

Steam

×5

MP5-SD | Condition Zero

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

693.90 ₽

at 138.78

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 166.85 ₽ +447.78 (+38.4%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 80%
Losing outcome 20%

in profit

best

AWP | Exoskeleton

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3 549.85 ₽ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

Dual Berettas | Dezastre

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 000.00 ₽ 16.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Nova | Clear Polymer

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 827.91 ₽ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

SSG 08 | Parallax

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 764.23 ₽ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

1 593.58 ₽ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

AWP | Exothermic

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

691.74 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

699.54 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Harlequin Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +223.72 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +373.70 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Harlequin Collection and The Operation Broken Fang Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 28 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2081631 · The Horizon Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 506.90₽ · invest 1 055.20₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); P250 | Contaminant (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 3; P250 | Contaminant (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074168 instead of 0.074242; MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 5; MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074168 instead of 0.074242
Craft 2084088 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 503.57₽ · invest 986.38₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); P250 | Contaminant (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 3; P250 | Contaminant (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074168 instead of 0.074242; MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 5; MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074168 instead of 0.074242
Craft 2084314 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 502.40₽ · invest 947.59₽
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); P250 | Contaminant (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 3; P250 | Contaminant (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074168 instead of 0.074242; MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 5; MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074168 instead of 0.074242
Craft 2067525 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 491.71₽ · invest 970.30₽
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); P250 | Contaminant (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 3; P250 | Contaminant (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074168 instead of 0.074242; MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 5; MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074168 instead of 0.074242
Craft 2060967 · The Ascent Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 486.11₽ · invest 1 052.29₽
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); P250 | Contaminant (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 3; P250 | Contaminant (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074438 instead of 0.074242; MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 5; MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074438 instead of 0.074242
Craft 2074480 · The Falchion Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 481.52₽ · invest 1 005.40₽
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); P250 | Contaminant (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 3; P250 | Contaminant (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074653 instead of 0.074242; MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 5; MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074653 instead of 0.074242
Craft 2084241 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 475.40₽ · invest 991.81₽
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); P250 | Contaminant (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 3; P250 | Contaminant (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074168 instead of 0.074242; MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 5; MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074168 instead of 0.074242
Craft 2062223 · The Boreal Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 474.21₽ · invest 923.77₽
sells slowly rare inputs

MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); P250 | Contaminant (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 3; P250 | Contaminant (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074438 instead of 0.074242; MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 5; MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074438 instead of 0.074242
Craft 2068525 · The Chroma Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 473.95₽ · invest 1 051.30₽
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); P250 | Contaminant (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 3; P250 | Contaminant (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074168 instead of 0.074242; MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 5; MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074168 instead of 0.074242
Craft 2084171 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 467.37₽ · invest 1 023.76₽
sells slowly rare inputs

M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); P250 | Contaminant (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 3; P250 | Contaminant (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074168 instead of 0.074242; MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 5; MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074168 instead of 0.074242
Craft 2078802 · The Gamma Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 466.49₽ · invest 964.78₽
sells slowly rare inputs

SG 553 | Aerial (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); P250 | Contaminant (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 3; P250 | Contaminant (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074438 instead of 0.074242; MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 5; MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074438 instead of 0.074242
Craft 2073056 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 464.36₽ · invest 885.31₽
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); P250 | Contaminant (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 3; P250 | Contaminant (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074364 instead of 0.074242; MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 5; MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074364 instead of 0.074242
Craft 2084364 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 459.64₽ · invest 955.63₽
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); P250 | Contaminant (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 3; P250 | Contaminant (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074168 instead of 0.074242; MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 5; MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074168 instead of 0.074242
Craft 2076245 · The Fracture Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 458.36₽ · invest 908.92₽
sells slowly rare inputs

SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); P250 | Contaminant (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 3; P250 | Contaminant (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074653 instead of 0.074242; MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 5; MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074653 instead of 0.074242
Craft 2084273 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 457.30₽ · invest 1 085.80₽
sells slowly rare inputs

MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); P250 | Contaminant (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 3; P250 | Contaminant (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074168 instead of 0.074242; MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 5; MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074168 instead of 0.074242
Craft 2082833 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 455.76₽ · invest 902.89₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Dark Sigil (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); P250 | Contaminant (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 3; P250 | Contaminant (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074650 instead of 0.074242; MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 5; MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074650 instead of 0.074242
Craft 2077102 · The Gallery Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 452.34₽ · invest 996.64₽
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); P250 | Contaminant (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 3; P250 | Contaminant (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074658 instead of 0.074242; MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 5; MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074658 instead of 0.074242
Craft 2056941 · The Achroma Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 449.14₽ · invest 1 151.55₽
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); P250 | Contaminant (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074174 instead of 0.074242; MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074174 instead of 0.074242
Craft 2084389 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 446.83₽ · invest 1 175.55₽
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | Small Game (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New)
Craft 2084339 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 442.55₽ · invest 932.89₽
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); P250 | Contaminant (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 3; P250 | Contaminant (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074168 instead of 0.074242; MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 5; MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074168 instead of 0.074242
Craft 2084126 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 442.54₽ · invest 1 115.03₽
sells slowly rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); P250 | Contaminant (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074097 instead of 0.074242; MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074097 instead of 0.074242
Craft 2069481 · The Clutch Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 441.79₽ · invest 1 087.65₽
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New)
Craft 2084181 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 435.87₽ · invest 1 090.33₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New)
Craft 2063625 · The Breakout Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 433.77₽ · invest 970.78₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); P250 | Contaminant (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 3; P250 | Contaminant (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074168 instead of 0.074242; MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 5; MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074168 instead of 0.074242
Craft 2064624 · The CS20 Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 432.94₽ · invest 1 156.37₽
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); P250 | Contaminant (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074129 instead of 0.074242; MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074129 instead of 0.074242
Craft 2084212 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 429.39₽ · invest 1 090.83₽
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); P250 | Contaminant (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074336 instead of 0.074242; MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074336 instead of 0.074242
Craft 2079502 · The Genesis Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 410.81₽ · invest 1 156.37₽
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); P250 | Contaminant (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074530 instead of 0.074242; MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074530 instead of 0.074242
Craft 2071975 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 408.73₽ · invest 1 160.65₽
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); P250 | Contaminant (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074530 instead of 0.074242; MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074530 instead of 0.074242

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Harlequin Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build