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The Kilowatt Collection + The Shadow Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +137.87₴

Invest 199.67₴

Average return 337.54₴

ROI +69.0%

Chance of profit 45%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 479.66₴ · profit at most −142.12₴ (−29.6%) · chance of profit at most 22%

The estimate is made from the market at the time of the nightly check. Since then cheap listings with the needed float may have been bought or relisted. The «Check floats on Steam» button shows the current price.

The float window is very narrow: less than 30% of the wear range fits. The markup was not measured for such a case. The purchase will cost at least the stated number of times more. How much more is unknown, so the investment is shown as “at least” and the profit as “at most”.

Nova | Dark Sigil (Factory New) × 1 7% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 13.96 → 30.15 ₴

SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear) × 5 7% of the wear range fits at least ×2.47 98.22 → 242.60 ₴

XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) × 4 7% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 87.49 → 206.92 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

+ a third collection

How to build

7% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 7% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×1

Nova | Dark Sigil

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

13.96 ₴

at 13.96

Steam

×5

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

98.22 ₴

at 19.64

Steam

×4

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

87.49 ₴

at 21.87

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 199.67 ₴ +137.87 (+69.0%)

8% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 8% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×6

UMP-45 | Motorized

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

32.94 ₴

at 5.49

Steam

×2

Nova | Dark Sigil

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

27.91 ₴

at 13.96

Steam

×2

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

39.29 ₴

at 19.64

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 100.15 ₴ +10.14 (+10.1%)

8% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 8% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×5

UMP-45 | Motorized

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

27.45 ₴

at 5.49

Steam

×2

Nova | Dark Sigil

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

27.91 ₴

at 13.96

Steam

×3

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

58.93 ₴

at 19.64

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 114.30 ₴ +28.45 (+24.9%)

8% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 8% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×4

UMP-45 | Motorized

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

21.96 ₴

at 5.49

Steam

×2

Nova | Dark Sigil

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

27.91 ₴

at 13.96

Steam

×4

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

78.57 ₴

at 19.64

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 128.45 ₴ +46.76 (+36.4%)

8% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 8% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×3

UMP-45 | Motorized

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

16.47 ₴

at 5.49

Steam

×2

Nova | Dark Sigil

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

27.91 ₴

at 13.96

Steam

×5

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

98.22 ₴

at 19.64

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 142.60 ₴ +65.08 (+45.6%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 33%
About break-even 22%

in profit

best

Galil AR | Stone Cold

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

997.43 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077777

126.09 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

about break-even

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.048222

223.76 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

P250 | Wingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

354.72 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Five-SeveN | Hybrid

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077777

35.98 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Block-18

Factory New

float up to 0.052256

74.72 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | Etch Lord

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077777

47.65 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Just Smile

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077777

44.00 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

Sawed-Off | Analog Input

Factory New

float up to 0.048133

58.44 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Kilowatt Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +71.20 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +104.31 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Kilowatt Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 8 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2085348 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 150.90₴ · invest 214.40₴
rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of Nova | Dark Sigil (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.075240; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.075240
Craft 2061130 · The Ascent Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 147.82₴ · invest 226.03₴
rare inputs

P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New) instead of Nova | Dark Sigil (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075148 instead of 0.075240; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075148 instead of 0.075240
Craft 2062409 · The Boreal Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 145.72₴ · invest 203.35₴
rare inputs

MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New) instead of Nova | Dark Sigil (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075148 instead of 0.075240; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075148 instead of 0.075240
Craft 2073436 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 142.32₴ · invest 196.56₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) instead of Nova | Dark Sigil (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075114 instead of 0.075240; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075114 instead of 0.075240
Craft 2088555 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 140.13₴ · invest 204.96₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of Nova | Dark Sigil (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.075240; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.075240
Craft 2088591 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 139.25₴ · invest 208.97₴
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of Nova | Dark Sigil (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.075240; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.075240
Craft 2076519 · The Fracture Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 137.78₴ · invest 200.73₴
rare inputs

SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of Nova | Dark Sigil (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075241 instead of 0.075240; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075241 instead of 0.075240
Craft 2079098 · The Gamma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 137.41₴ · invest 210.59₴
rare inputs

SG 553 | Aerial (Factory New) instead of Nova | Dark Sigil (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075148 instead of 0.075240; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075148 instead of 0.075240

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Kilowatt Collection + The Shadow Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build