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The Recoil Collection + The Shadow Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +322.85₽

Invest 401.92₽

Average return 724.77₽

ROI +80.3%

Chance of profit 68%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 1 010.25₽ · profit at most −285.48₽ (−28.3%) · chance of profit at most 22%

The estimate is made from the market at the time of the nightly check. Since then cheap listings with the needed float may have been bought or relisted. The «Check floats on Steam» button shows the current price.

The float window is very narrow: less than 30% of the wear range fits. The markup was not measured for such a case. The purchase will cost at least the stated number of times more. How much more is unknown, so the investment is shown as “at least” and the profit as “at most”.

Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) × 1 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 34.34 → 74.17 ₽

SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear) × 1 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 37.10 → 80.14 ₽

XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) × 8 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.59 330.48 → 855.94 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

+ a third collection

How to build

6% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 6% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×1

Galil AR | Destroyer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

34.34 ₽

at 34.34

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

37.10 ₽

at 37.10

Steam

×8

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

330.48 ₽

at 41.31

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 401.92 ₽ +322.85 (+80.3%)

6% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 6% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×1

UMP-45 | Roadblock

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

15.22 ₽

at 15.22

Steam

×1

Galil AR | Destroyer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

34.34 ₽

at 34.34

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

37.10 ₽

at 37.10

Steam

×7

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

289.17 ₽

at 41.31

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 375.83 ₽ +286.50 (+76.2%)

6% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 6% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×2

UMP-45 | Roadblock

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

30.44 ₽

at 15.22

Steam

×1

Galil AR | Destroyer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

34.34 ₽

at 34.34

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

37.10 ₽

at 37.10

Steam

×6

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

247.86 ₽

at 41.31

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 349.74 ₽ +250.15 (+71.5%)

6% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 6% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×3

UMP-45 | Roadblock

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

45.66 ₽

at 15.22

Steam

×1

Galil AR | Destroyer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

34.34 ₽

at 34.34

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

37.10 ₽

at 37.10

Steam

×5

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

206.55 ₽

at 41.31

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 323.65 ₽ +213.80 (+66.1%)

6% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 6% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×4

UMP-45 | Roadblock

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

60.88 ₽

at 15.22

Steam

×1

Galil AR | Destroyer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

34.34 ₽

at 34.34

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

37.10 ₽

at 37.10

Steam

×4

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

165.24 ₽

at 41.31

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 297.56 ₽ +177.44 (+59.6%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 68%
Losing outcome 33%

in profit

best

Galil AR | Stone Cold

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

1 883.81 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

644.84 ₽ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.043399

422.61 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

P250 | Wingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

669.94 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

279.38 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

M249 | Downtown

Factory New

float up to 0.045499

122.26 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Vent Rush

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

123.96 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

R8 Revolver | Crazy 8

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

280.97 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Dragon Tech

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

129.48 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Recoil Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Recoil Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +183.37 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +256.71 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Recoil Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 26 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2081897 · The Horizon Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 348.84₽ · invest 444.71₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074772 instead of 0.074999; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074772 instead of 0.074999
Craft 2085347 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 347.73₽ · invest 421.77₽
rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074772 instead of 0.074999; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074772 instead of 0.074999
Craft 2088523 · The Shadow Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 347.34₽ · invest 408.84₽
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074772 instead of 0.074999; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074772 instead of 0.074999
Craft 2067817 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 343.77₽ · invest 416.41₽
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074772 instead of 0.074999; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074772 instead of 0.074999
Craft 2061129 · The Ascent Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 341.91₽ · invest 443.74₽
rare inputs

P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074902 instead of 0.074999; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074902 instead of 0.074999
Craft 2074761 · The Falchion Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 340.38₽ · invest 428.11₽
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New)
Craft 2087982 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 338.34₽ · invest 423.58₽
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074772 instead of 0.074999; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074772 instead of 0.074999
Craft 2062408 · The Boreal Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 337.94₽ · invest 400.90₽
rare inputs

MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074902 instead of 0.074999; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074902 instead of 0.074999
Craft 2068736 · The Chroma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 337.86₽ · invest 443.41₽
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074772 instead of 0.074999; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074772 instead of 0.074999
Craft 2087022 · The Radiant Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 335.66₽ · invest 434.23₽
rare inputs

M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074772 instead of 0.074999; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074772 instead of 0.074999
Craft 2079097 · The Gamma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 335.37₽ · invest 414.57₽
sells slowly rare inputs

SG 553 | Aerial (Factory New) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074902 instead of 0.074999; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074902 instead of 0.074999
Craft 2073435 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 334.66₽ · invest 388.08₽
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074867 instead of 0.074999; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074867 instead of 0.074999
Craft 2088590 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 333.08₽ · invest 411.52₽
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074772 instead of 0.074999; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074772 instead of 0.074999
Craft 2085848 · The Phoenix Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 332.89₽ · invest 431.03₽
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074590 instead of 0.074999; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074590 instead of 0.074999
Craft 2076518 · The Fracture Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 332.66₽ · invest 395.95₽
rare inputs

SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New)
Craft 2083189 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 331.79₽ · invest 393.94₽
rare inputs

Nova | Dark Sigil (Factory New) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074998 instead of 0.074999; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074998 instead of 0.074999
Craft 2077481 · The Gallery Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 330.65₽ · invest 425.19₽
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075002 instead of 0.074999; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075002 instead of 0.074999
Craft 2057099 · The Achroma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 329.49₽ · invest 432.53₽
rare inputs

P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074954 instead of 0.074999; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074954 instead of 0.074999
Craft 2081315 · The Harlequin Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 328.81₽ · invest 440.18₽
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New)
Craft 2088625 · The Shadow Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 328.33₽ · invest 444.53₽
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | Small Game (Factory New) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New)
Craft 2088554 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 327.39₽ · invest 403.94₽
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074772 instead of 0.074999; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074772 instead of 0.074999
Craft 2086277 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 326.19₽ · invest 414.27₽
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074902 instead of 0.074999; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074902 instead of 0.074999
Craft 2069801 · The Clutch Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 325.82₽ · invest 400.58₽
rare inputs

XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New)
Craft 2063853 · The Breakout Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 324.46₽ · invest 416.57₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Negev | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074772 instead of 0.074999; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074772 instead of 0.074999
Craft 2064871 · The CS20 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 321.39₽ · invest 434.94₽
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074924 instead of 0.074999; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074924 instead of 0.074999
Craft 2087658 · The Revolution Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 319.61₽ · invest 402.17₽
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) instead of Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075061 instead of 0.074999; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075061 instead of 0.074999

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Recoil Collection + The Shadow Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build