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The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +3.94$

Invest 17.47$

Average return 21.41$

ROI +22.6%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 41.07 $, profit at most −19.66 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

UMP-45 | Exposure

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

7.31 $

at 1.22

Steam

×3

SG 553 | Phantom

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

7.72 $

at 2.57

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Praetorian

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

2.43 $

at 2.43

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 17.47 $ +3.94 (+22.6%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 37%
Losing outcome 60%
About break-even 3%

at a loss

worst

PP-Bizon | High Roller

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

12.55 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Leaded Glass

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

46.03 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.096999

15.11 $ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

AWP | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

20.93 $ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.075999

29.06 $ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

Nova | Hyper Beast

Factory New

float up to 0.059999

25.50 $ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Variant 2 only The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 3 The Spectrum Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 4 The Sport & Field Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +0.97 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2.44 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Spectrum 2 Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2087406 · The Recoil Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 4.03$ · invest 16.05$
rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora (Minimal Wear) instead of MAG-7 | Praetorian (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Exposure (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074633 instead of 0.074615; SG 553 | Phantom (Factory New): float at most 0.004054 instead of 0.004038
Craft 2068807 · The Chroma Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 3.89$ · invest 17.33$
rare inputs

Desert Eagle | Naga (Field-Tested) instead of MAG-7 | Praetorian (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Exposure (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074755 instead of 0.074615; SG 553 | Phantom (Factory New): float at most 0.004161 instead of 0.004038
Craft 2051722 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 3.84$ · invest 16.37$
rare inputs

P250 | Vino Primo (Field-Tested) instead of MAG-7 | Praetorian (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Exposure (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074755 instead of 0.074615; SG 553 | Phantom (Factory New): float at most 0.004161 instead of 0.004038
Craft 2089261 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 3.78$ · invest 16.80$
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Field-Tested) instead of MAG-7 | Praetorian (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Exposure (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074755 instead of 0.074615; SG 553 | Phantom (Factory New): float at most 0.004161 instead of 0.004038
Craft 2067928 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 3.68$ · invest 16.99$
rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Minimal Wear) instead of MAG-7 | Praetorian (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Exposure (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074633 instead of 0.074615; SG 553 | Phantom (Factory New): float at most 0.004054 instead of 0.004038

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build