The Revolution Collection + The Breakout Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: this craft was not checked against the market at night (only the best are) or there were not enough listings. The numbers below are at average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will count by live listings right now.

Average profit +176 152.46₸

Invest 278 170.40₸

Average return 454 322.85₸

ROI +63.3%

Chance of profit 54%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 636 670.68₸ · profit at most −182 347.82₸ (−28.6%) · chance of profit at most 18%

The estimate is made from the market at the time of the nightly check. Since then cheap listings with the needed float may have been bought or relisted. The «Check floats on Steam» button shows the current price.

The float window is very narrow: less than 30% of the wear range fits. The markup was not measured for such a case. The purchase will cost at least the stated number of times more. How much more is unknown, so the investment is shown as “at least” and the profit as “at most”.

AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New) × 4 16% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 174 744.59 → 413 270.96 ₸

M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) × 1 16% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 103 425.81 → 223 399.74 ₸

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

The gain is understated. 2 outcome has no price on Steam: it is above its cap and is not listed on the market. It counts as zero in the calculation and accounts for 3.1% of the probability.

Sell on a marketplace: CSFloat, outcomes: 16. They have no price on Steam (above its price cap or nobody listed them); they are counted at the marketplace's cheapest listing minus its fee, ignoring pattern and float. They account for 37.2% of the probability. Money from the marketplace can be withdrawn, while the investment comes from the Steam balance. Without them (as zero, like before) the profit is −144 397.73 ₸.

+ a third collection

How to build

16% of lots fit ≈ enough for 1 contract · medium (by listings)

×4

AK-47 | Head Shot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0112

174 744.59 ₸

at 43 686.15

Steam

×1

M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0112

103 425.81 ₸

at 103 425.81

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 278 170.40 ₸ +176 152.46 (+63.3%)

The gain is understated, noticeably. 2 outcomes have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound. Such outcomes carry 6% of the probability.

14% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)

×3

AK-47 | Head Shot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0096

131 058.44 ₸

at 43 686.15

Steam

×2

M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0096

206 851.61 ₸

at 103 425.81

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 337 910.06 ₸ +138 874.63 (+41.1%)

12% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)

×2

AK-47 | Head Shot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0084

87 372.30 ₸

at 43 686.15

Steam

×3

M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0084

310 277.42 ₸

at 103 425.81

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 397 649.72 ₸ +101 596.80 (+25.6%)

11% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)

×1

AK-47 | Head Shot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0075

43 686.15 ₸

at 43 686.15

Steam

×4

M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0075

413 703.23 ₸

at 103 425.81

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 457 389.38 ₸ +64 318.92 (+14.1%)

What you get 37 outcomes

Profitable outcome 54%
Losing outcome 40%
About break-even 3%
Above the Steam cap 3%

Order

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Duct Tape

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

278 583.53 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

510 719.00 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Overprint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

228 303.31 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Arboreal

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

143 108.96 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Turtle

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

226 332.93 ₸ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | POW!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

340 331.52 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Polygon

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

439 367.99 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Transport

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

154 919.85 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Imperial Plaid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

634 471.09 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | King Snake

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 113 043.52 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Overtake

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

186 917.83 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

70 635.14 ₸ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

719 674.48 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Buckshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

128 991.68 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

461 376.55 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Mogul

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

370 442.29 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Omega

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

564 263.67 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Vice

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 541 319.53 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 071 216.10 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

about break-even

★ Sport Gloves | Bronze Morph

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

310 019.57 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Emerald

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

118 000.10 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

255 875.39 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Mangrove

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

72 107.73 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Rattler

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

92 678.92 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

855 712.21 ₸ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

561 813.13 ₸ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

497 626.66 ₸ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

583 140.28 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

544 568.44 ₸ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

317 742.11 ₸ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

★ Butterfly Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 601 820.94 ₸ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Night

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

907 160.29 ₸ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

385 735.98 ₸ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

★ Butterfly Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

461 975.58 ₸ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife

no wear

639 010.36 ₸ 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Revolution Collection + The Breakout Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 4 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 5 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 6 The Arms Deal 2 Collection instead of The Revolution Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +159 204.27 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +179 283.33 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Revolution Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2091165 · The Revolution Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 195 397.49₸ · invest 275 044.23₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.013513 instead of 0.011261
Craft 2091168 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 195 397.49₸ · invest 275 044.23₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.013513 instead of 0.011261
Craft 2091885 · The Vanguard Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 176 526.67₸ · invest 220 132.16₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

P2000 | Fire Elemental (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.011923 instead of 0.011261
Craft 2091888 · The Revolution Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 176 526.67₸ · invest 220 132.16₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

P2000 | Fire Elemental (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.011923 instead of 0.011261
Craft 2090558 · The Breakout Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 176 152.48₸ · invest 278 170.40₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Revolution Collection + The Breakout Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 37 outcomes

More

How to build