The Glove Collection + The Falchion Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: this craft was not checked against the market at night (only the best are) or there were not enough listings. The numbers below are at average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will count by live listings right now.

Average profit +54 808.11₴

Invest 74 727.59₴

Average return 129 535.70₴

ROI +73.3%

Chance of profit 27%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 174 933.63₴ · profit at most −45 397.93₴ (−25.9%) · chance of profit at most 13%

The estimate is made from the market at the time of the nightly check. Since then cheap listings with the needed float may have been bought or relisted. The «Check floats on Steam» button shows the current price.

The float window is very narrow: less than 30% of the wear range fits. The markup was not measured for such a case. The purchase will cost at least the stated number of times more. How much more is unknown, so the investment is shown as “at least” and the profit as “at most”.

SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New) × 4 11% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 65 961.17 → 155 998.17 ₴

AWP | Hyper Beast (Factory New) × 1 11% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 8 766.42 → 18 935.46 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

The gain is understated. 4 outcome has no price on Steam: it is above its cap and is not listed on the market. It counts as zero in the calculation and accounts for 11.5% of the probability.

Sell on a marketplace: CSFloat / Market.CSGO, outcomes: 16. They have no price on Steam (above its price cap or nobody listed them); they are counted at the marketplace's cheapest listing minus its fee, ignoring pattern and float. They account for 49.7% of the probability. Money from the marketplace can be withdrawn, while the investment comes from the Steam balance. Without them (as zero, like before) the profit is −61 549.78 ₴.

+ a third collection

How to build

11% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)

×4

SSG 08 | Dragonfire

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0075

65 961.17 ₴

at 16 490.29

Steam

×1

AWP | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0075

8 766.42 ₴

at 8 766.42

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 74 727.59 ₴ +54 808.11 (+73.3%)

The gain is understated, noticeably. 4 outcomes have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound. Such outcomes carry 9% of the probability.

16% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)

×1

SSG 08 | Dragonfire

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0112

16 490.29 ₴

at 16 490.29

Steam

×4

AWP | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0112

35 065.67 ₴

at 8 766.42

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 51 555.96 ₴ −12 121.68 (−23.5%)

14% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)

×2

SSG 08 | Dragonfire

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0096

32 980.58 ₴

at 16 490.29

Steam

×3

AWP | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0096

26 299.25 ₴

at 8 766.42

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 59 279.84 ₴ +10 188.25 (+17.2%)

12% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)

×3

SSG 08 | Dragonfire

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0084

49 470.88 ₴

at 16 490.29

Steam

×2

AWP | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0084

17 532.84 ₴

at 8 766.42

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 67 003.71 ₴ +32 498.18 (+48.5%)

What you get 37 outcomes

Profitable outcome 23%
Losing outcome 62%
About break-even 3%
Above the Steam cap 12%

Order

★ Hand Wraps | Spruce DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Badlands

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

79 193.88 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Leather

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

44 952.51 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

51 853.17 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Eclipse

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

30 028.28 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Moto Gloves | Spearmint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Boom!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

72 373.42 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Cool Mint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

153 216.25 ₴ 3.33%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Lunar Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

46 750.61 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Convoy

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

33 352.24 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Crimson Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

98 670.76 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Diamondback

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

75 471.17 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

26 971.51 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

189 512.60 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

404 572.62 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

about break-even

★ Specialist Gloves | Foundation

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

77 381.70 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 317 108.64 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.33%

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Arid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

130 362.29 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

966 478.59 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Charred

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

46 525.76 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Guerrilla

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

25 623.29 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Bronzed

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

69 432.83 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Snakebite

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

17 980.56 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

11 517.19 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

10 998.59 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

16 857.32 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

7 879.22 ₴ 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

20 437.66 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

13 236.83 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

12 276.04 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

★ Falchion Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Night

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

17 476.06 ₴ 1.54%

sell on Market.CSGO pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6 516.32 ₴ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8 206.83 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7 521.89 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Falchion Knife

no wear

5 169.12 ₴ 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Glove Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 only The Glove Collection Variant 3 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Clutch Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Revolution Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Breakout Collection instead of The Glove Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +53 307.57 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +53 889.91 ₴ historical median

5% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Glove Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 37 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

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no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

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no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

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no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

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no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

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no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

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no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

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no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

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no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

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no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

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no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

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no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

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no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

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no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

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no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

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no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

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no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

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no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

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no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

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no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

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no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

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no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

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no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

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no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

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no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

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no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

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no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

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no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

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no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

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no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

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no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

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no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

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no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

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no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
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no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Factory New) instead of AWP | Hyper Beast (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007021 instead of 0.007507
Craft 2091534 · The Glove Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 54 479.37₴ · invest 78 244.95₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Factory New) instead of AWP | Hyper Beast (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007021 instead of 0.007507

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Glove Collection + The Falchion Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 37 outcomes

More

How to build