The Operation Hydra Collection + The Glove Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit +67 760.80₴

Invest 91 808.96₴

Average return 159 569.76₴

ROI +73.8%

Chance of profit 29%

With float: invest at least 211 829.42 ₴, profit at most −52 259.65 ₴

The gain is understated: 6 outcomes have no price, that is 12.5% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −77 244.71 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

11% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×1

Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0075

25 847.69 ₴

at 25 847.69

Steam

×4

SSG 08 | Dragonfire

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0075

65 961.27 ₴

at 16 490.32

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 91 808.96 ₴ +67 760.80 (+73.8%)

What you get 48 outcomes

Profitable outcome 29%
Losing outcome 58%
Above the Steam cap 12%

Order

★ Hand Wraps | Spruce DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Badlands

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

79 194.01 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Leather

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

44 952.58 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

51 853.26 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Eclipse

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

30 028.33 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Moto Gloves | Spearmint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Boom!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

72 373.53 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Cool Mint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

153 216.49 ₴ 3.33%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Lunar Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

46 750.69 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Convoy

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

33 352.29 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Crimson Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

98 670.92 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Diamondback

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

75 471.29 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

26 971.55 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

189 512.90 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

404 573.26 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Foundation

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

77 381.83 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 317 110.74 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.33%

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Arid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

130 362.50 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

966 480.13 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Charred

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

46 525.84 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Guerrilla

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

25 623.33 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Bronzed

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

69 432.94 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Snakebite

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

17 980.59 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Hand Wraps | Spruce DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.83%

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Badlands

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

79 194.01 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Leather

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

44 952.58 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

51 853.26 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Eclipse

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

30 028.33 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Moto Gloves | Spearmint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.83%

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Boom!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

72 373.53 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Cool Mint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

153 216.49 ₴ 0.83%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Lunar Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

46 750.69 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Convoy

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

33 352.29 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Crimson Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

98 670.92 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Diamondback

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

75 471.29 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

26 971.55 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

189 512.90 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

404 573.26 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Foundation

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

77 381.83 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 317 110.74 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.83%

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Arid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

130 362.50 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

966 480.13 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Charred

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

46 525.84 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Guerrilla

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

25 623.33 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Bronzed

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

69 432.94 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Snakebite

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

17 980.59 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Operation Hydra Collection + The Glove Collection

Variant 2 only The Glove Collection Variant 3 The Clutch Collection instead of The Operation Hydra Collection Variant 4 The Revolution Collection instead of The Operation Hydra Collection Variant 5 The Recoil Collection instead of The Operation Hydra Collection Variant 6 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Operation Hydra Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +66 027.45 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +66 660.04 ₴ historical median

4% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Glove Collection and The Operation Hydra Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2091498 · The Glove Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection · profit 67 760.80₴ · invest 91 808.96₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 2091107 · The Glove Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 64 136.60₴ · invest 75 896.62₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New) instead of Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New)
Craft 2091109 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 64 136.60₴ · invest 75 896.62₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New) instead of Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New)
Craft 2090535 · The Glove Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit 62 230.25₴ · invest 76 206.28₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) instead of Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.006756 instead of 0.007507
Craft 2090536 · The Breakout Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 62 230.25₴ · invest 76 206.28₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) instead of Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.006756 instead of 0.007507

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Operation Hydra Collection + The Glove Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 48 outcomes

More

How to build