The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Falchion Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit −90 066.77₸

Invest 159 923.23₸

Average return 69 856.46₸

ROI −56.3%

Chance of profit 4%

With float: invest at least 354 895.08 ₸, profit at most −285 038.62 ₸

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 6.2% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −94 810.54 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

share of fitting lots unknown assemble: no data

×1

StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4760

33 349.88 ₸

at 33 349.88

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4910

94 609.30 ₸

at 31 536.43

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1671

31 964.04 ₸

at 31 964.04

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 159 923.23 ₸ −90 066.77 (−56.3%)

What you get 43 outcomes

Profitable outcome 4%
Losing outcome 90%
Above the Steam cap 6%

Order

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.035764

152 384.52 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Slaughter

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121764

155 890.14 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Blue Steel

Well-Worn

float up to 0.447058

96 859.34 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Stained

Well-Worn

float up to 0.447058

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened

Well-Worn

float up to 0.447058

99 011.30 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Forest DDPAT

Well-Worn

float up to 0.390823

39 140.72 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Boreal Forest

Well-Worn

float up to 0.390823

43 548.66 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Crimson Web

Well-Worn

float up to 0.390823

65 448.04 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Night

Well-Worn

float up to 0.390823

21 433.28 ₸ 6.15%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Scorched

Well-Worn

float up to 0.390823

37 275.64 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Safari Mesh

Well-Worn

float up to 0.390823

39 118.33 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Urban Masked

Well-Worn

float up to 0.390823

48 559.05 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife

no wear

89 635.57 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.035764

726 090.22 ₸ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Freehand

Field-Tested

float up to 0.214588

319 544.18 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Lore

Well-Worn

float up to 0.447058

406 347.20 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

492 183.22 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Black Laminate

Well-Worn

float up to 0.447058

308 590.78 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water

Field-Tested

float up to 0.223529

304 763.27 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.035764

154 297.98 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Freehand

Field-Tested

float up to 0.214588

35 398.79 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Lore

Field-Tested

float up to 0.290588

55 695.58 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Autotronic

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

46 764.68 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Black Laminate

Well-Worn

float up to 0.447058

33 921.98 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Bright Water

Field-Tested

float up to 0.223529

36 744.97 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.035764

58 411.67 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Freehand

Field-Tested

float up to 0.214588

28 135.95 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Lore

Well-Worn

float up to 0.447058

30 813.45 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Autotronic

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

29 197.98 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Black Laminate

Well-Worn

float up to 0.447058

21 189.12 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Bright Water

Field-Tested

float up to 0.223529

22 022.16 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.035764

119 000.11 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Freehand

Field-Tested

float up to 0.214588

34 611.77 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Lore

Well-Worn

float up to 0.447058

37 942.71 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Autotronic

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

44 024.97 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Black Laminate

Well-Worn

float up to 0.447058

31 542.37 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Bright Water

Field-Tested

float up to 0.223529

27 137.58 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.035764

137 943.29 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Freehand

Field-Tested

float up to 0.214588

33 545.36 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Lore

Field-Tested

float up to 0.290588

62 055.41 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Autotronic

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

64 490.83 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Black Laminate

Well-Worn

float up to 0.447058

28 163.21 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Bright Water

Field-Tested

float up to 0.223529

27 724.48 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector (Battle-Scarred) × 1 7% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 33 349.88 → 72 035.75 ₸

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) × 3 7% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 94 609.30 → 213 817.01 ₸

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) × 1 7% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 31 964.04 → 69 042.34 ₸

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.447058724

outcomes come out up to 0.035764, 0.121764, 0.447058, 0.447058, 0.447058, 0.390823, 0.390823, 0.390823, 0.390823, 0.390823, 0.390823, 0.390823, 0.000000, 0.035764, 0.214588, 0.447058, 0.379999, 0.447058, 0.223529, 0.035764, 0.214588, 0.290588, 0.379999, 0.447058, 0.223529, 0.035764, 0.214588, 0.447058, 0.379999, 0.447058, 0.223529, 0.035764, 0.214588, 0.447058, 0.379999, 0.447058, 0.223529, 0.035764, 0.214588, 0.290588, 0.379999, 0.447058, 0.223529

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −99 404.06 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −92 019.30 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 9 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2096193 · The Falchion Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit −90 066.74₸ · invest 159 923.23₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 2096194 · The Falchion Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit −90 108.39₸ · invest 159 923.23₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Autotronic: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Autotronic: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Autotronic: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Autotronic: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.494498 instead of 0.491008; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168608 instead of 0.167148; StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.478317 instead of 0.476096
Craft 2096205 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −90 108.39₸ · invest 159 923.23₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Autotronic: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Autotronic: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Autotronic: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Autotronic: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.478317 instead of 0.476096; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.494498 instead of 0.491008; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168608 instead of 0.167148
Craft 2096662 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −91 216.70₸ · invest 161 073.18₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.514572 instead of 0.491008; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.177003 instead of 0.167148
Craft 2096673 · The Falchion Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit −91 216.70₸ · invest 161 073.18₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.514572 instead of 0.491008; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.177003 instead of 0.167148
Craft 2096663 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −91 258.35₸ · invest 161 073.18₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector (Battle-Scarred); ★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Autotronic: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Autotronic: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Autotronic: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Autotronic: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.517901 instead of 0.491008; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.178395 instead of 0.167148
Craft 2096674 · The Falchion Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit −91 258.35₸ · invest 161 073.18₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector (Battle-Scarred); ★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Autotronic: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Autotronic: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Autotronic: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Autotronic: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.517901 instead of 0.491008; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.178395 instead of 0.167148
Craft 2096565 · The Gallery Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −91 679.80₸ · invest 146 355.99₸
no outcome price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.482548 instead of 0.491008; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163611 instead of 0.167148
Craft 2096571 · The Falchion Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit −91 679.80₸ · invest 146 355.99₸
no outcome price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.482548 instead of 0.491008; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163611 instead of 0.167148

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 43 outcomes

More

How to build