Knives and gloves · The Wildfire Collection
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The Wildfire Collection + The Falchion Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5 About the craft Craft 2096828 · ways to build: 1 StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, which differs from the price of the normal item. A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes. The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft was not checked against the market at night (only the best are) or there were not enough listings. The numbers below are at average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will count by live listings right now.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. −15 681.94₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the needed wear, regardless of float. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase. 27 447.63₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 11 765.69₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. −57.1%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 2%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 61 056.88₽ · profit at most −49 291.19₽ (−80.7%) · chance of profit at most 0%

The estimate is made from the market at the time of the nightly check. Since then cheap listings with the needed float may have been bought or relisted. The «Check floats on Steam» button shows the current price.

The float window is very narrow: less than 30% of the wear range fits. The markup was not measured for such a case. The purchase will cost at least the stated number of times more. How much more is unknown, so the investment is shown as “at least” and the profit as “at most”.
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested) × 1 19% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 3 767.63 → 8 138.08 ₽
StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) × 3 19% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 17 700.00 → 40 002.00 ₽
StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) × 1 19% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 5 980.00 → 12 916.80 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
The gain is understated. 1 outcome has no price on Steam: it is above its cap and is not listed on the market. It counts as zero in the calculation and accounts for 6.2% of the probability.
+ a third collection

How to build Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

19% of lots fit assemble: no data
×1
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1939
3 767.63 ₽
at 3 767.63
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.193936f′ (normalized) 0.303026wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 16 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 4 of 18 · from 3 326.80 ₽ (float 0.1559) · craft not before 18.10 · data 11.10 15:54 MSK
×3
StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast
Battle-Scarred
buy 0.4500–0.5550
17 700.00 ₽
at 5 900.00
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.555066f′ (normalized) 0.555066wear 0.4500–1.0000on the market 14
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 21 of 110 · from 4 759.73 ₽ (float 0.5057) · craft not before 18.10 · data 11.10 15:54 MSK
×1
StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast
Field-Tested
buy 0.1500–0.1939
5 980.00 ₽
at 5 980.00
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.193936f′ (normalized) 0.193936wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 24 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Lis-Skins: suitable 4 of 40 · from 6 308.10 ₽ (float 0.1804) · craft not before 18.10 · data 11.10 15:54 MSK
Set · 5 pcs 27 447.63 ₽ −15 681.94 (−57.1%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.432432332 outcomes come out up to 0.034594, 0.118108, 0.432432, 0.432432, 0.432432, 0.379999, 0.379999, 0.379999, 0.379999, 0.379999, 0.379999, 0.379999, 0.000000, 0.034594, 0.118108, 0.432432, 0.432432, 0.432432, 0.379999, 0.379999, 0.379999, 0.379999, 0.379999, 0.379999, 0.379999, 0.000000 «No higher than» is a guarantee. Take every item with the float at the upper limit and you get exactly the result shown.

What you get 26 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 2%
  • Losing outcome 92%
  • Above the Steam cap 6%
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Fade
Factory New
float up to 0.034594
28 508.89 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 24 790.34 ₽The Falchion Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 26 315.70 ₽ (you get 22 883.21 ₽)) · buy orders: 259 sell on Market.CSGO: 24 284.18 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 26 627.40 · lots 3 on CSFloat: from 21 222.26 ₽ listings: 10 on CS.Money: ~ 23 393.72 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 24 607.63 ₽ listings: 4
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Slaughter
Minimal Wear
float up to 0.118108
29 164.74 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear)net 25 360.64 ₽The Falchion Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 33 350.00 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 18 703.08 ₽ (you get 16 263.54 ₽)) · buy orders: 161 Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price on CSFloat: from 18 421.77 ₽ listings: 4 on CS.Money: ~ 16 936.21 ₽ Lis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Blue Steel
Well-Worn
float up to 0.432432
18 120.95 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Blue Steel (Well-Worn)net 15 757.35 ₽The Falchion Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Stained
Well-Worn
float up to 0.432432
not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Stained (Well-Worn)The Falchion Collection sell now to a buy order: 9 137.82 ₽ (you get 7 945.93 ₽)) · buy orders: 113 Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price on CS.Money: ~ 6 411.67 ₽ Lis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened
Well-Worn
float up to 0.432432
18 523.55 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn)net 16 107.43 ₽The Falchion Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 21 590.00 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 15 158.66 ₽ (you get 13 181.44 ₽)) · buy orders: 101 sell on Market.CSGO: 14 136.00 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 15 500.00 · lots 5 on CSFloat: from 16 538.08 ₽ listings: 7 on Lis-Skins: from 18 014.30 ₽ listings: 3
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Forest DDPAT
Field-Tested
float up to 0.379999
8 195.98 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested)net 7 126.94 ₽The Falchion Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 7 748.11 ₽ (you get 6 737.48 ₽)) · buy orders: 136 sell on Market.CSGO: 6 566.40 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 7 200.00 · lots 9 on CSFloat: from 6 430.34 ₽ listings: 3 on Lis-Skins: from 6 658.70 ₽ listings: 10
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Boreal Forest
Field-Tested
float up to 0.379999
8 147.31 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested)net 7 084.62 ₽The Falchion Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 6 412.27 ₽ (you get 5 575.88 ₽)) · buy orders: 133 sell on Market.CSGO: 6 821.76 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 7 480.00 · lots 4 CSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price on Lis-Skins: from 6 145.97 ₽ listings: 7
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Crimson Web
Field-Tested
float up to 0.379999
12 244.36 ₽ 6.15%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Crimson Web (Field-Tested)net 10 647.27 ₽The Falchion Collection sells 4 a week sell now to a buy order: 12 255.16 ₽ (you get 10 656.66 ₽)) · buy orders: 138 Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price on CSFloat: from 12 733.35 ₽ listings: 4 on Lis-Skins: from 11 050.85 ₽ listings: 14
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Night
Field-Tested
float up to 0.379999
11 699.00 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Night (Field-Tested)net 10 173.04 ₽The Falchion Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 9 232.74 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 10 123.62 · lots 5 on CSFloat: from 9 337.79 ₽ listings: 7 on CS.Money: ~ 9 646.79 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 9 792.80 ₽ listings: 9
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Scorched
Field-Tested
float up to 0.379999
6 973.72 ₽ 6.15%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Scorched (Field-Tested)net 6 064.10 ₽The Falchion Collection sells 2 a week sell now to a buy order: 7 257.11 ₽ (you get 6 310.53 ₽)) · buy orders: 110 sell on Market.CSGO: 7 204.80 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 7 900.00 · lots 3 on CS.Money: ~ 5 199.45 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 6 843.75 ₽ listings: 14
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Safari Mesh
Field-Tested
float up to 0.379999
7 318.46 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested)net 6 363.88 ₽The Falchion Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 5 604.46 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 6 145.25 · lots 10 on CSFloat: from 5 900.64 ₽ listings: 3 on CS.Money: ~ 5 498.26 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 5 240.20 ₽ listings: 18
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Urban Masked
Field-Tested
float up to 0.379999
9 084.68 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Urban Masked (Field-Tested)net 7 899.72 ₽The Falchion Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 8 957.09 ₽ (you get 7 788.77 ₽)) · buy orders: 137 sell on Market.CSGO: 7 494.17 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 8 217.30 · lots 10 on CSFloat: from 7 724.05 ₽ listings: 3 on CS.Money: ~ 5 752.93 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 7 026.26 ₽ listings: 16
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife
no wear
16 769.49 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knifenet 14 582.17 ₽The Falchion Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 13 228.31 ₽ (you get 11 502.87 ₽)) · buy orders: 264 sell on Market.CSGO: 11 795.66 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 12 933.84 · lots 6 on CSFloat: from 11 235.91 ₽ listings: 10 on CS.Money: ~ 12 804.66 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 12 024.53 ₽ listings: 19
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Fade
Factory New
float up to 0.034594
23 756.32 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 20 657.67 ₽
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 22 749.37 ₽ (you get 19 782.06 ₽)) · buy orders: 424 sell on Market.CSGO: 20 975.78 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 22 999.76 · lots 3 on CSFloat: from 19 989.67 ₽ listings: 12 on CS.Money: ~ 20 723.96 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 21 566.06 ₽ listings: 8
in profit
best
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter
Minimal Wear
float up to 0.118108
33 777.59 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear)net 29 371.82 ₽
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 19 598.77 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 21 489.89 · lots 4 CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price Lis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel
Well-Worn
float up to 0.432432
11 481.92 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel (Well-Worn)net 9 984.28 ₽
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 15 714.57 ₽, the better wear is cheaper no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 12 311.99 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 13 499.99 · lots 6 CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price on Lis-Skins: from 11 921.81 ₽ listings: 5
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Stained
Well-Worn
float up to 0.432432
12 444.77 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Stained (Well-Worn)net 10 821.54 ₽
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 10 556.52 ₽ (you get 9 179.58 ₽)) · buy orders: 93 sell on Market.CSGO: 9 880.38 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 10 833.75 · lots 4 CSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price on Lis-Skins: from 10 359.86 ₽ listings: 4
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened
Well-Worn
float up to 0.432432
25 216.29 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn)net 21 927.21 ₽
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 17 456.27 ₽ (you get 15 179.36 ₽)) · buy orders: 132 Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price on CSFloat: from 18 250.29 ₽ listings: 5 Lis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
at a loss
worst
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT
Field-Tested
float up to 0.379999
6 799.00 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested)net 5 912.17 ₽
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 6 252.34 ₽ (you get 5 436.81 ₽)) · buy orders: 110 sell on Market.CSGO: 5 681.76 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 6 230.00 · lots 9 on CSFloat: from 5 507.60 ₽ listings: 4 on Lis-Skins: from 5 707.09 ₽ listings: 11
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest
Field-Tested
float up to 0.379999
6 992.29 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested)net 6 080.25 ₽
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 5 140.66 ₽ (you get 4 470.13 ₽)) · buy orders: 81 sell on Market.CSGO: 5 279.11 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 5 788.50 · lots 7 on CSFloat: from 6 791.12 ₽ listings: 6 on Lis-Skins: from 4 792.83 ₽ listings: 14
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web
Field-Tested
float up to 0.379999
17 314.47 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web (Field-Tested)net 15 056.06 ₽
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 20 763.15 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 16 963.29 ₽ (you get 14 750.68 ₽)) · buy orders: 169 sell on Market.CSGO: 13 563.37 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 14 872.12 · lots 10 on CSFloat: from 13 949.81 ₽ listings: 4 on Lis-Skins: from 13 816.54 ₽ listings: 11
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Night
Field-Tested
float up to 0.379999
9 200.00 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Night (Field-Tested)net 8 000.00 ₽
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 8 413.34 ₽ (you get 7 315.94 ₽)) · buy orders: 99 sell on Market.CSGO: 8 253.59 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 9 049.99 · lots 7 on CSFloat: from 8 589.07 ₽ listings: 5 on CS.Money: ~ 7 544.94 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 8 331.01 ₽ listings: 12
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Scorched
Field-Tested
float up to 0.379999
6 987.22 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Scorched (Field-Tested)net 6 075.84 ₽
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 6 492.89 ₽ (you get 5 645.99 ₽)) · buy orders: 113 sell on Market.CSGO: 6 170.18 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 6 765.55 · lots 5 on CSFloat: from 5 857.34 ₽ listings: 3 on Lis-Skins: from 7 198.59 ₽ listings: 5
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh
Field-Tested
float up to 0.379999
6 841.99 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested)net 5 949.56 ₽
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 5 210.94 ₽ (you get 4 531.25 ₽)) · buy orders: 124 sell on Market.CSGO: 5 209.99 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 5 712.71 · lots 11 on CSFloat: from 5 007.60 ₽ listings: 3 on Lis-Skins: from 4 443.09 ₽ listings: 14
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked
Field-Tested
float up to 0.379999
6 933.08 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked (Field-Tested)net 6 028.77 ₽
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 6 457.25 ₽ (you get 5 615.00 ₽)) · buy orders: 72 sell on Market.CSGO: 5 774.05 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 6 331.20 · lots 7 CSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price on Lis-Skins: from 5 211.34 ₽ listings: 24
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife
no wear
12 735.56 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knifenet 11 074.40 ₽
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 11 491.00 ₽ (you get 9 992.17 ₽)) · buy orders: 192 sell on Market.CSGO: 15 270.81 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 16 744.32 · lots 3 on CSFloat: from 9 317.42 ₽ listings: 3 on Lis-Skins: from 9 841.18 ₽ listings: 31

Craft variants Craft variants One of this craft's two collections paired with another collection, same rarity. Click a variant to open its page with all the numbers. The variants may include a craft at a small loss: no more than 15% of the investment, if its most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee and that outcome's price is confirmed by sales.

Variant 1 this one The Wildfire Collection + The Falchion Collection
Variant 2 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Falchion Collection
Chains Pretty floats Interesting Cases Favorites From inventory Proven in practice How crafts work