The Wildfire Collection + The Falchion Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit −15 681.94₽

Invest 27 447.63₽

Average return 11 765.69₽

ROI −57.1%

Chance of profit 2%

With float: invest at least 61 056.88 ₽, profit at most −49 291.19 ₽

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 6.2% of the chance

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

share of fitting lots unknown assemble: no data

×1

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1939

3 767.63 ₽

at 3 767.63

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.5550

17 700.00 ₽

at 5 900.00

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1939

5 980.00 ₽

at 5 980.00

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 27 447.63 ₽ −15 681.94 (−57.1%)

What you get 26 outcomes

Profitable outcome 2%
Losing outcome 92%
Above the Steam cap 6%

Order

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.034594

28 508.89 ₽ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Slaughter

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.118108

29 164.74 ₽ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Blue Steel

Well-Worn

float up to 0.432432

18 120.95 ₽ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Stained

Well-Worn

float up to 0.432432

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened

Well-Worn

float up to 0.432432

18 523.55 ₽ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Forest DDPAT

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

8 195.98 ₽ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Boreal Forest

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

8 147.31 ₽ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Crimson Web

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

12 244.36 ₽ 6.15%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Night

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

11 699.00 ₽ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Scorched

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

6 973.72 ₽ 6.15%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Safari Mesh

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

7 318.46 ₽ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Urban Masked

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

9 084.68 ₽ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife

no wear

16 769.49 ₽ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.034594

23 756.32 ₽ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.118108

33 777.59 ₽ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel

Well-Worn

float up to 0.432432

11 481.92 ₽ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Stained

Well-Worn

float up to 0.432432

12 444.77 ₽ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened

Well-Worn

float up to 0.432432

25 216.29 ₽ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

6 799.00 ₽ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

6 992.29 ₽ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

17 314.47 ₽ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Night

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

9 200.00 ₽ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Scorched

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

6 987.22 ₽ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

6 841.99 ₽ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

6 933.08 ₽ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife

no wear

12 735.56 ₽ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested) × 1 19% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 3 767.63 → 8 138.08 ₽

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) × 3 19% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 17 700.00 → 40 002.00 ₽

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) × 1 19% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 5 980.00 → 12 916.80 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.432432332

outcomes come out up to 0.034594, 0.118108, 0.432432, 0.432432, 0.432432, 0.379999, 0.379999, 0.379999, 0.379999, 0.379999, 0.379999, 0.379999, 0.000000, 0.034594, 0.118108, 0.432432, 0.432432, 0.432432, 0.379999, 0.379999, 0.379999, 0.379999, 0.379999, 0.379999, 0.379999, 0.000000

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Wildfire Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −17 374.75 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −15 962.09 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 21 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2095936 · The Falchion Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit −15 126.16₽ · invest 28 323.86₽
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.535123 instead of 0.555066; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.185597 instead of 0.193936
Craft 2095942 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −15 126.16₽ · invest 28 323.86₽
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.535123 instead of 0.555066; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.185597 instead of 0.193936
Craft 2096896 · The eSports 2014 Summer Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −15 410.75₽ · invest 31 391.99₽
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.533941 instead of 0.555066; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.185102 instead of 0.193936
Craft 2096905 · The Falchion Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit −15 410.75₽ · invest 31 391.99₽
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.533941 instead of 0.555066; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.185102 instead of 0.193936
Craft 2096700 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −15 466.84₽ · invest 29 027.74₽
no outcome price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.498020 instead of 0.555066; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170081 instead of 0.193936
Craft 2096708 · The Falchion Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit −15 466.84₽ · invest 29 027.74₽
no outcome price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.498020 instead of 0.555066; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170081 instead of 0.193936
Craft 2096626 · The Horizon Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −15 542.30₽ · invest 28 740.00₽
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Code Red (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.498020 instead of 0.555066; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170081 instead of 0.193936
Craft 2096632 · The Falchion Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit −15 542.30₽ · invest 28 740.00₽
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Code Red (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.498020 instead of 0.555066; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170081 instead of 0.193936
Craft 2096537 · The Fever Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −15 668.15₽ · invest 28 280.00₽
no outcome price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.498020 instead of 0.555066; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170081 instead of 0.193936
Craft 2096545 · The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection · profit −15 668.15₽ · invest 28 280.00₽
no outcome price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.498020 instead of 0.555066; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170081 instead of 0.193936
Craft 2096835 · The Falchion Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −15 681.94₽ · invest 27 447.63₽
no outcome price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 2096648 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −15 831.74₽ · invest 26 533.97₽
no outcome price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AWP | Chrome Cannon (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.498020 instead of 0.555066; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170081 instead of 0.193936
Craft 2096654 · The Falchion Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit −15 831.74₽ · invest 26 533.97₽
no outcome price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AWP | Chrome Cannon (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.498020 instead of 0.555066; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170081 instead of 0.193936
Craft 2096701 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −15 928.18₽ · invest 29 027.74₽
no outcome price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested); ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Forest DDPAT: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Boreal Forest: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Crimson Web: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Night: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Scorched: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Safari Mesh: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Urban Masked: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.517901 instead of 0.555066; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.178395 instead of 0.193936
Craft 2096709 · The Falchion Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit −15 928.18₽ · invest 29 027.74₽
no outcome price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested); ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Forest DDPAT: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Boreal Forest: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Crimson Web: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Night: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Scorched: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Safari Mesh: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Urban Masked: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.517901 instead of 0.555066; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.178395 instead of 0.193936
Craft 2096538 · The Fever Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −16 151.40₽ · invest 28 280.00₽
no outcome price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested); ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Forest DDPAT: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Boreal Forest: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Crimson Web: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Night: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Scorched: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Safari Mesh: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Urban Masked: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.517901 instead of 0.555066; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.178395 instead of 0.193936
Craft 2096546 · The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection · profit −16 151.40₽ · invest 28 280.00₽
no outcome price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested); ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Forest DDPAT: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Boreal Forest: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Crimson Web: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Night: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Scorched: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Safari Mesh: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Urban Masked: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.517901 instead of 0.555066; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.178395 instead of 0.193936
Craft 2096649 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −16 304.86₽ · invest 26 533.97₽
no outcome price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AWP | Chrome Cannon (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested); ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Forest DDPAT: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Boreal Forest: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Crimson Web: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Night: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Scorched: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Safari Mesh: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Urban Masked: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.517901 instead of 0.555066; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.178395 instead of 0.193936
Craft 2096655 · The Falchion Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit −16 304.86₽ · invest 26 533.97₽
no outcome price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AWP | Chrome Cannon (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested); ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Forest DDPAT: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Boreal Forest: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Crimson Web: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Night: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Scorched: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Safari Mesh: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Urban Masked: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.517901 instead of 0.555066; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.178395 instead of 0.193936
Craft 2096661 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −16 607.10₽ · invest 30 134.41₽
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.498020 instead of 0.555066; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170081 instead of 0.193936
Craft 2096672 · The Falchion Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit −16 607.10₽ · invest 30 134.41₽
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.498020 instead of 0.555066; StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170081 instead of 0.193936

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Wildfire Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 26 outcomes

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How to build