Knives and gloves · The Falchion Collection
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The Falchion Collection + The Wildfire Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5 About the craft Craft 2096837 · ways to build: 1 StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, which differs from the price of the normal item. A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes. The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. −17 778.07₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the needed wear, regardless of float. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase. 27 367.63₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 9 589.56₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. −65.0%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 0%

If buying now (with float)

invest 27 721.63₽ · profit −18 132.07₽ (−65.4%) · chance of profit 0%

The estimate is made from the market at the time of the nightly check. Since then cheap listings with the needed float may have been bought or relisted. The «Check floats on Steam» button shows the current price.

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) × 4 100% of the wear range fits ×1.01 23 600.00 → 23 954.00 ₽
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested) × 1 100% of the wear range fits ×1.00 3 767.63 → 3 767.63 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
The gain is understated. 1 outcome has no price on Steam: it is above its cap and is not listed on the market. It counts as zero in the calculation and accounts for 6.2% of the probability.
Sell on a marketplace: CSFloat, outcomes: 1. They have no price on Steam (above its price cap or nobody listed them); they are counted at the marketplace's cheapest listing minus its fee, ignoring pattern and float. They account for 1.5% of the probability. Money from the marketplace can be withdrawn, while the investment comes from the Steam balance. Without them (as zero, like before) the profit is −17 909.91 ₽.
+ a third collection

How to build Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

100% of lots fit ≈ enough for 3 contracts · medium (by listings)
×4
StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast
Battle-Scarred
any lot
23 600.00 ₽
at 5 900.00
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsf′ (normalized) 1.000000wear 0.4500–1.0000on the market 14 · good ≈ 14 Lis-Skins: suitable 110 of 110 · from 4 757.18 ₽ (float 0.6040) · craft not before 19.10 · data 11.10 15:54 MSK
×1
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar
Field-Tested
any lot
3 767.63 ₽
at 3 767.63
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsf′ (normalized) 0.593750wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 16 · good ≈ 16 Lis-Skins: suitable 18 of 18 · from 3 303.03 ₽ (float 0.2798) · craft not before 19.10 · data 11.10 15:54 MSK
Set · 5 pcs 27 367.63 ₽ −17 778.07 (−65.0%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.918750000 outcomes come out up to 0.073500, 0.239687, 0.918750, 0.918750, 0.918750, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.000000, 0.073500, 0.239687, 0.918750, 0.918750, 0.918750, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.739875, 0.000000 «No higher than» is a guarantee. Take every item with the float at the upper limit and you get exactly the result shown.

What you get 26 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 0%
  • Losing outcome 94%
  • Above the Steam cap 6%
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Fade
Minimal Wear
float up to 0.073500
not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear) sell now to a buy order: 27 899.93 ₽ (you get 24 260.80 ₽)) · buy orders: 61 Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price CSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price on Lis-Skins: from 36 151.69 ₽ listings: 3
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Slaughter
Field-Tested
float up to 0.239687
22 574.33 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Slaughter (Field-Tested)net 19 629.85 ₽
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 18 965.90 ₽ (you get 16 492.08 ₽)) · buy orders: 110 sell on Market.CSGO: 20 923.09 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 22 941.99 · lots 5 CSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price on Lis-Skins: from 21 326.67 ₽ listings: 7
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Blue Steel
Battle-Scarred
float up to 0.918750
14 604.30 ₽ 6.15%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred)net 12 699.39 ₽ sells 3 a week sell now to a buy order: 11 647.41 ₽ (you get 10 128.18 ₽)) · buy orders: 96 sell on Market.CSGO: 13 661.76 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 14 980.00 · lots 6 on CSFloat: from 12 936.24 ₽ listings: 6 on Lis-Skins: from 13 252.03 ₽ listings: 7
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Stained
Battle-Scarred
float up to 0.918750
10 883.41 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Stained (Battle-Scarred)net 9 463.83 ₽
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 10 259.54 ₽ (you get 8 921.33 ₽)) · buy orders: 83 not listed on Market.CSGO right now on CSFloat: from 8 774.98 ₽ listings: 3
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened
Battle-Scarred
float up to 0.918750
17 702.20 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred)net 15 393.22 ₽
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 14 298.42 ₽ (you get 12 433.40 ₽)) · buy orders: 105 sell on Market.CSGO: 15 047.95 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 16 499.95 · lots 4 on CSFloat: from 15 586.47 ₽ listings: 7 on Lis-Skins: from 14 752.86 ₽ listings: 4
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Forest DDPAT
Battle-Scarred
float up to 0.739875
7 322.65 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred)net 6 367.52 ₽
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 10 280.62 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 7 970.84 ₽ (you get 6 931.16 ₽)) · buy orders: 105 sell on Market.CSGO: 7 113.60 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 7 800.00 · lots 4 CSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Boreal Forest
Battle-Scarred
float up to 0.739875
8 112.51 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred)net 7 054.36 ₽
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 7 493.51 ₽ (you get 6 516.09 ₽)) · buy orders: 124 Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price on CSFloat: from 6 764.81 ₽ listings: 5 on Lis-Skins: from 7 027.11 ₽ listings: 3
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Crimson Web
Battle-Scarred
float up to 0.739875
12 244.36 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred)net 10 647.27 ₽
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 15 282.86 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 14 972.56 ₽ (you get 13 019.61 ₽)) · buy orders: 59 sell on Market.CSGO: 12 832.47 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 14 070.70 · lots 3 CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price on CS.Money: ~ 9 627.26 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 13 799.56 ₽ listings: 4
at a loss
worst
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Night
Battle-Scarred
float up to 0.739875
4 009.85 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Night (Battle-Scarred)net 3 486.83 ₽
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 12 565.66 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 12 447.27 ₽ (you get 10 823.71 ₽)) · buy orders: 78 Market.CSGO: price does not match Steam and is not shown CSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price Lis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Scorched
Battle-Scarred
float up to 0.739875
6 973.72 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Scorched (Battle-Scarred)net 6 064.10 ₽
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 9 090.15 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 8 123.29 ₽ (you get 7 063.73 ₽)) · buy orders: 95 sell on Market.CSGO: 7 113.59 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 7 799.99 · lots 5 CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price on Lis-Skins: from 7 208.78 ₽ listings: 5
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Safari Mesh
Battle-Scarred
float up to 0.739875
7 318.46 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred)net 6 363.88 ₽
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 7 977.41 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 6 369.15 ₽ (you get 5 538.39 ₽)) · buy orders: 98 sell on Market.CSGO: 7 204.67 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 7 899.86 · lots 4 CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price on Lis-Skins: from 8 303.84 ₽ listings: 5
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Urban Masked
Battle-Scarred
float up to 0.739875
8 999.99 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Urban Masked (Battle-Scarred)net 7 826.08 ₽
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 9 362.67 ₽ (you get 8 141.45 ₽)) · buy orders: 54 sell on Market.CSGO: 7 540.42 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 8 268.01 · lots 7 on CSFloat: from 7 551.73 ₽ listings: 3 on Lis-Skins: from 7 805.55 ₽ listings: 5
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife
no wear
16 769.49 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knifenet 14 582.17 ₽
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 13 228.31 ₽ (you get 11 502.87 ₽)) · buy orders: 264 sell on Market.CSGO: 11 795.66 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 12 933.84 · lots 6 on CSFloat: from 11 235.91 ₽ listings: 10 on CS.Money: ~ 12 804.66 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 12 024.53 ₽ listings: 19
at a loss
best
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Fade
Minimal Wear
float up to 0.073500
23 756.32 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear)net 20 657.67 ₽The Wildfire Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 54 639.87 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 23 436.38 ₽ (you get 20 379.46 ₽)) · buy orders: 54 Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price on CSFloat: from 30 475.16 ₽ listings: 5
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter
Field-Tested
float up to 0.239687
21 479.77 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter (Field-Tested)net 18 678.06 ₽The Wildfire Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 16 373.29 ₽ (you get 14 237.64 ₽)) · buy orders: 87 sell on Market.CSGO: 17 880.84 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 19 606.19 · lots 4 CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price on Lis-Skins: from 18 497.32 ₽ listings: 3
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel
Battle-Scarred
float up to 0.918750
11 481.92 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred)net 9 984.28 ₽The Wildfire Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 21 381.67 ₽, the better wear is cheaper no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 19 805.80 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 21 716.89 · lots 4 Lis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Stained
Battle-Scarred
float up to 0.918750
12 444.77 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Stained (Battle-Scarred)net 10 821.54 ₽The Wildfire Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 13 440.14 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 9 927.92 ₽ (you get 8 632.97 ₽)) · buy orders: 75 sell on Market.CSGO: 9 905.77 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 10 861.60 · lots 5 CSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price on Lis-Skins: from 9 744.41 ₽ listings: 4
at a loss
best
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened
Battle-Scarred
float up to 0.918750
23 756.32 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred)net 20 657.67 ₽The Wildfire Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 18 750.09 ₽ (you get 16 304.42 ₽)) · buy orders: 111 Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price on CSFloat: from 16 044.03 ₽ listings: 5
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT
Battle-Scarred
float up to 0.739875
6 799.00 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred)net 5 912.17 ₽The Wildfire Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 8 999.00 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 6 490.91 ₽ (you get 5 644.26 ₽)) · buy orders: 126 Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price on CSFloat: from 5 499.96 ₽ listings: 3
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest
Battle-Scarred
float up to 0.739875
6 992.29 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred)net 6 080.25 ₽The Wildfire Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 13 659.97 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 6 780.96 ₽ (you get 5 896.48 ₽)) · buy orders: 100 sell on Market.CSGO: 7 104.48 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 7 790.00 · lots 3 CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price on Lis-Skins: from 7 552.58 ₽ listings: 3
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web
Battle-Scarred
float up to 0.739875
17 314.47 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred)net 15 056.06 ₽The Wildfire Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 40 387.61 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 15 578.39 ₽ (you get 13 546.42 ₽)) · buy orders: 153 not listed on Market.CSGO right now on CSFloat: from 28 862.27 ₽ listings: 6 on CS.Money: ~ 16 662.02 ₽
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Night
Battle-Scarred
float up to 0.739875
8 744.75 ₽ 1.54%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Night (Battle-Scarred)net 8 569.85 ₽The Wildfire Collection no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 8 744.75 ₽ listings 3 · you get 8 569.85 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 6 632.47 ₽ (you get 5 767.36 ₽)) · buy orders: 95 Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price CSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Scorched
Battle-Scarred
float up to 0.739875
6 367.78 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Scorched (Battle-Scarred)net 5 537.20 ₽The Wildfire Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 5 218.86 ₽ (you get 4 538.13 ₽)) · buy orders: 93 not listed on Market.CSGO right now CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh
Battle-Scarred
float up to 0.739875
6 841.99 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred)net 5 949.56 ₽The Wildfire Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 11 404.43 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 7 139.31 ₽ (you get 6 208.09 ₽)) · buy orders: 56 sell on Market.CSGO: 6 201.60 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 6 800.00 · lots 3 on CSFloat: from 5 423.56 ₽ listings: 3 Lis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked
Battle-Scarred
float up to 0.739875
6 933.08 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals price cut pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked (Battle-Scarred)net 6 028.77 ₽The Wildfire Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
listed at 33 960.50 ₽, the better wear is cheaper sell now to a buy order: 8 129.23 ₽ (you get 7 068.89 ₽)) · buy orders: 70 Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price on CSFloat: from 7 724.90 ₽ listings: 5
at a loss
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife
no wear
12 735.56 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knifenet 11 074.40 ₽The Wildfire Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 11 491.00 ₽ (you get 9 992.17 ₽)) · buy orders: 192 sell on Market.CSGO: 15 270.81 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 16 744.32 · lots 3 on CSFloat: from 9 317.42 ₽ listings: 3 on Lis-Skins: from 9 841.18 ₽ listings: 31

Craft variants Craft variants One of this craft's two collections paired with another collection, same rarity. Click a variant to open its page with all the numbers. The variants may include a craft at a small loss: no more than 15% of the investment, if its most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee and that outcome's price is confirmed by sales.

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Wildfire Collection
Variant 2 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Falchion Collection
Chains Pretty floats Interesting Cases Favorites From inventory Proven in practice How crafts work