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The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Gamma Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +10.68$

Invest 25.44$

Average return 36.12$

ROI +42.0%

Chance of profit 35%

With float: invest at least 61.77 $, profit at most −25.65 $

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P250 | Vino Primo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1634

1.28 $

at 1.28

Steam

×7

Sawed-Off | Limelight

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

16.51 $

at 2.36

Steam

×2

P90 | Chopper

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

7.65 $

at 3.83

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 25.44 $ +10.68 (+42.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −4 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P250 | Vino Primo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1634

1.28 $

at 1.28

Steam

×1

P250 | Vino Primo

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

3.32 $

at 3.32

Steam

×6

Sawed-Off | Limelight

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

14.15 $

at 2.36

Steam

×2

P90 | Chopper

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

7.65 $

at 3.83

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 26.40 $ +9.74 (+36.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −8 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P250 | Vino Primo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1634

1.28 $

at 1.28

Steam

×2

P250 | Vino Primo

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

6.63 $

at 3.32

Steam

×5

Sawed-Off | Limelight

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

11.79 $

at 2.36

Steam

×2

P90 | Chopper

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

7.65 $

at 3.83

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 27.35 $ +8.80 (+32.2%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 35%
Losing outcome 35%
About break-even 30%

about break-even

P2000 | Imperial Dragon

Factory New

float up to 0.044099

29.21 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Desolate Space

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

79.97 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

SCAR-20 | Bloodsport

Factory New

float up to 0.031499

15.40 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

Dual Berettas | Twin Turbo

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

16.87 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

SG 553 | Integrale

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

66.49 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Gamma Collection

Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection Variant 3 The Horizon Collection instead of The Gamma Collection Variant 4 The Chroma 2 Collection instead of The Gamma Collection Variant 5 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection Variant 6 The Shadow Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +4.09 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +8.43 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Inferno Collection and The Gamma Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2128677 · The Gamma Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 10.90$ · invest 26.60$
rare inputs

MAG-7 | Praetorian (Minimal Wear) instead of P250 | Vino Primo (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Limelight (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074485 instead of 0.074690; P90 | Chopper (Factory New): float at most 0.003924 instead of 0.004104
Craft 2118014 · The Chroma Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 9.89$ · invest 26.68$
rare inputs

Desert Eagle | Naga (Field-Tested) instead of P250 | Vino Primo (Field-Tested)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Gamma Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

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How to build