to all crafts

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Ancient Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Average profit +0.21$

Invest 1.98$

Average return 2.19$

ROI +10.8%

Chance of profit 68%

With float: invest at least 5.03 $, profit at most −2.84 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

6% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Nova | Mandrel

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

0.03 $

at 0.03

Steam

×1

Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1592

0.19 $

at 0.19

souvenirSteam

×8

Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1641

1.75 $

at 0.22

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 1.98 $ +0.21 (+10.8%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 68%
Losing outcome 33%

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Silver

Factory New

float up to 0.014457

2.10 $ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

G3SG1 | Ancient Ritual

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.137349

4.01 $ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Panther Camo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.090361

2.54 $ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Tall Grass

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.117469

2.50 $ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Cold Fusion

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

0.23 $ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

M4A4 | Mainframe

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.090361

0.08 $ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Motherboard

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.090361

0.11 $ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

Negev | Bulkhead

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.090361

0.10 $ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Ancient Collection

Variant 2 The Safehouse Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 3 The Rising Sun Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 4 only The Ancient Collection Variant 5 The Overpass Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 6 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Ancient Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −0.19 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +0.10 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Ancient Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2102059 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Ancient Collection · profit 0.21$ · invest 1.98$
sells slowly rare inputs

Galil AR | Cold Fusion: Field-Tested instead of Minimal Wear; Nova | Mandrel (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079171 instead of 0.074938; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167195 instead of 0.159260; Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested): float at most 0.176366 instead of 0.164199
Craft 2107285 · The Ancient Collection + The Bank Collection · profit 0.20$ · invest 1.99$
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Forest DDPAT (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Mandrel (Minimal Wear); Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Field-Tested): float at most 0.158733 instead of 0.159260; Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163391 instead of 0.164199

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Ancient Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build