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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Ascent Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +134.23₽

Invest 461.29₽

Average return 595.52₽

ROI +29.1%

Chance of profit 65%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 1 178.19₽ · profit at most −582.67₽ (−49.5%) · chance of profit at most 0%

The estimate is made from the market at the time of the nightly check. Since then cheap listings with the needed float may have been bought or relisted. The «Check floats on Steam» button shows the current price.

The float window is very narrow: less than 30% of the wear range fits. The markup was not measured for such a case. The purchase will cost at least the stated number of times more. How much more is unknown, so the investment is shown as “at least” and the profit as “at most”.

P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear) × 9 9% of the wear range fits at least ×2.63 386.82 → 1 017.34 ₽

P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New) × 1 9% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 74.47 → 160.86 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

+ a third collection

How to build

9% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 9% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×9

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0771

386.82 ₽

at 42.98

Steam

×1

P90 | Reef Grief

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

74.47 ₽

at 74.47

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 461.29 ₽ +134.23 (+29.1%)

11% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 11% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×8

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0785

343.84 ₽

at 42.98

Steam

×1

P2000 | Royal Baroque

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0785

39.10 ₽

at 39.10

Steam

×1

P90 | Reef Grief

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0074

74.47 ₽

at 74.47

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 457.41 ₽ +115.56 (+25.3%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 65%
Losing outcome 5%
About break-even 30%

in profit

best

AUG | Random Access

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 064.65 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.097999

509.25 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

558.46 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | Midnight Laminate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.104999

662.93 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

USP-S | Royal Guard

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.083999

239.88 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Ascent Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Ascent Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Ascent Collection Variant 5 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 6 The Glove Collection instead of The Ascent Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +40.73 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +115.45 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Ascent Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 16 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2102529 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 145.11₽ · invest 440.27₽
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) instead of P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075735 instead of 0.077194
Craft 2102661 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 144.98₽ · invest 421.73₽
SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.077194
Craft 2102671 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 144.13₽ · invest 430.76₽
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.077194
Craft 2102225 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit 144.06₽ · invest 434.91₽
rare inputs

G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Factory New) instead of P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077112 instead of 0.077194
Craft 2102239 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 144.01₽ · invest 420.09₽
SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New) instead of P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077146 instead of 0.077194
Craft 2102578 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 143.40₽ · invest 419.42₽
Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) instead of P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077272 instead of 0.077194
Craft 2102566 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 142.34₽ · invest 449.10₽
M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.077194
Craft 2102589 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 141.49₽ · invest 420.99₽
SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) instead of P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077321 instead of 0.077194
Craft 2102600 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 138.31₽ · invest 443.60₽
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.077194
Craft 2102536 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 137.17₽ · invest 429.77₽
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New)
Craft 2102303 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 137.06₽ · invest 447.35₽
UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) instead of P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074475 instead of 0.077194
Craft 2102415 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 136.16₽ · invest 463.95₽
rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.077194
Craft 2102457 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Lake Collection · profit 136.15₽ · invest 425.76₽
SG 553 | Anodized Navy (Factory New) instead of P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074837 instead of 0.077194
Craft 2102231 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit 135.27₽ · invest 461.48₽
rare inputs

XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New) instead of P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.077194
Craft 2102335 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 132.46₽ · invest 444.41₽
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077274 instead of 0.077194
Craft 2102304 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 131.75₽ · invest 447.35₽
UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) instead of P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077272 instead of 0.077194

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Ascent Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build