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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Falchion Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +137.06₽

Invest 447.35₽

Average return 584.41₽

ROI +30.6%

Chance of profit 62%

With float: invest at least 1 148.08 ₽, profit at most −563.68 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

386.82 ₽

at 42.98

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

60.53 ₽

at 60.53

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 447.35 ₽ +137.06 (+30.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P90 | Facility Negative

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1684

14.86 ₽

at 14.86

Steam

×6

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

257.88 ₽

at 42.98

Steam

×1

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

54.64 ₽

at 54.64

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

121.06 ₽

at 60.53

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 448.44 ₽ +68.63 (+15.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

P90 | Facility Negative

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

29.72 ₽

at 14.86

Steam

×4

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

171.92 ₽

at 42.98

Steam

×1

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

54.64 ₽

at 54.64

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

181.59 ₽

at 60.53

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 437.87 ₽ +45.53 (+10.4%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 62%
Losing outcome 8%
About break-even 30%

in profit

best

AUG | Random Access

Factory New

float up to 0.067307

1 064.65 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.094230

509.25 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.134615

558.46 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Neural Net

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.080769

151.89 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

P2000 | Handgun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.134615

167.68 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

770.51 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.067307

432.82 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.208653

95.02 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 6 The Glove Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +42.91 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +118.33 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 16 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2102529 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 145.11₽ · invest 440.27₽
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075735 instead of 0.074475
Craft 2102661 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 144.98₽ · invest 421.73₽
SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.074475
Craft 2102671 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 144.13₽ · invest 430.76₽
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.074475
Craft 2102225 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit 144.06₽ · invest 434.91₽
rare inputs

G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077112 instead of 0.074475
Craft 2102239 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 144.01₽ · invest 420.09₽
SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077146 instead of 0.074475
Craft 2102578 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 143.40₽ · invest 419.42₽
Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077272 instead of 0.074475
Craft 2102566 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 142.34₽ · invest 449.10₽
M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.074475
Craft 2102589 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 141.49₽ · invest 420.99₽
SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077321 instead of 0.074475
Craft 2102600 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 138.31₽ · invest 443.60₽
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.074475
Craft 2102536 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 137.17₽ · invest 429.77₽
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077194 instead of 0.074475
Craft 2102415 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 136.16₽ · invest 463.95₽
rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.074475
Craft 2102457 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Lake Collection · profit 136.15₽ · invest 425.76₽
SG 553 | Anodized Navy (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074837 instead of 0.074475
Craft 2102231 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit 135.27₽ · invest 461.48₽
rare inputs

XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.074475
Craft 2102129 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Ascent Collection · profit 134.23₽ · invest 461.29₽
P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077194 instead of 0.074475
Craft 2102335 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 132.46₽ · invest 444.41₽
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077274 instead of 0.074475
Craft 2102304 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 131.75₽ · invest 447.35₽
M4A4 | Evil Daimyo: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077272 instead of 0.074475; UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New): float at most 0.006363 instead of 0.003916

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build