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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Falchion Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +704.22₸

Invest 2 391.16₸

Average return 3 095.38₸

ROI +29.4%

Chance of profit 60%

With float: invest at least 6 136.67 ₸, profit at most −3 041.29 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0772

2 067.61 ₸

at 229.73

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0063

323.54 ₸

at 323.54

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 391.16 ₸ +704.22 (+29.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P90 | Facility Negative

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1664

79.43 ₸

at 79.43

Steam

×6

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

1 378.41 ₸

at 229.73

Steam

×2

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

584.12 ₸

at 292.06

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

323.54 ₸

at 323.54

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 365.50 ₸ +313.28 (+13.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

P90 | Facility Negative

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1619

158.86 ₸

at 79.43

Steam

×4

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

918.94 ₸

at 229.73

Steam

×2

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

584.12 ₸

at 292.06

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

647.08 ₸

at 323.54

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 309.00 ₸ +161.48 (+7.0%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 10%
About break-even 30%

in profit

best

AUG | Random Access

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

5 690.72 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.097999

2 722.02 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

2 985.06 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Neural Net

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.083999

811.88 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

P2000 | Handgun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

896.28 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.072799

2 489.08 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 313.49 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.211399

507.90 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 6 The Glove Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +206.43 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +607.00 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 16 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2102529 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 775.61₸ · invest 2 353.31₸
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075735 instead of 0.077272
Craft 2102661 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 774.94₸ · invest 2 254.21₸
SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.077272
Craft 2102671 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 770.42₸ · invest 2 302.48₸
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.077272
Craft 2102225 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit 770.05₸ · invest 2 324.66₸
rare inputs

G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077112 instead of 0.077272
Craft 2102239 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 769.75₸ · invest 2 245.45₸
SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077146 instead of 0.077272
Craft 2102578 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 766.52₸ · invest 2 241.87₸
Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 2102566 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 760.83₸ · invest 2 400.51₸
M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.077272
Craft 2102589 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 756.31₸ · invest 2 250.26₸
SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077321 instead of 0.077272
Craft 2102600 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 739.26₸ · invest 2 371.11₸
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.077272
Craft 2102536 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 733.21₸ · invest 2 297.19₸
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077194 instead of 0.077272
Craft 2102303 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 732.58₸ · invest 2 391.16₸
M4A4 | Evil Daimyo: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074475 instead of 0.077272; UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New): float at most 0.003916 instead of 0.006363
Craft 2102415 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 727.82₸ · invest 2 479.89₸
rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.077272
Craft 2102457 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Lake Collection · profit 727.72₸ · invest 2 275.75₸
SG 553 | Anodized Navy (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074837 instead of 0.077272
Craft 2102231 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit 723.01₸ · invest 2 466.68₸
rare inputs

XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.077272
Craft 2102129 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Ascent Collection · profit 717.48₸ · invest 2 465.67₸
P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077194 instead of 0.077272
Craft 2102335 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 708.00₸ · invest 2 375.44₸
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077274 instead of 0.077272

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build