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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Italy Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Average profit +486.62₸

Invest 232.51₸

Average return 719.14₸

ROI +209.3%

Chance of profit 46%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 574.34₸ · profit at most +144.80₸ (+25.2%) · chance of profit at most 17%

The estimate is made from the market at the time of the nightly check. Since then cheap listings with the needed float may have been bought or relisted. The «Check floats on Steam» button shows the current price.

The float window is very narrow: less than 30% of the wear range fits. The markup was not measured for such a case. The purchase will cost at least the stated number of times more. How much more is unknown, so the investment is shown as “at least” and the profit as “at most”.

P250 | Facility Draft (Factory New) × 5 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.47 125.61 → 310.26 ₸

PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Minimal Wear) × 5 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.47 106.90 → 264.05 ₸

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

+ a third collection

How to build

5% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 5% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×5

P250 | Facility Draft

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

125.61 ₸

at 25.12

Steam

×5

PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

106.90 ₸

at 21.38

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 232.51 ₸ +486.62 (+209.3%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 33%
Losing outcome 54%
About break-even 12%

about break-even

Galil AR | Cold Fusion

Factory New

float up to 0.011216

279.45 ₸ 12.50%

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | Mainframe

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

127.11 ₸ 12.50%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Motherboard

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

118.02 ₸ 12.50%

Steam

at a loss

Negev | Bulkhead

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

117.54 ₸ 12.50%

Steam

in profit

Dual Berettas | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

380.74 ₸ 8.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Granite Marbleized

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3 171.50 ₸ 8.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4 696.58 ₸ 8.33%

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Candy Apple

Factory New

float up to 0.004054

120.00 ₸ 8.33%

Steam

in profit

UMP-45 | Gunsmoke

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

487.64 ₸ 8.33%

Steam

at a loss

worst

XM1014 | CaliCamo

Factory New

float up to 0.008108

104.39 ₸ 8.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Italy Collection

Variant 2 The Overpass Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 3 The Safehouse Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 4 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Italy Collection Variant 5 The Ancient Collection instead of The Italy Collection Variant 6 The Lake Collection instead of The Italy Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +279.66 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +384.05 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Italy Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 9 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2101721 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Italy Collection · profit 623.27₸ · invest 215.94₸
AUG | Sweeper (Factory New) instead of P250 | Facility Draft (Factory New); PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074809 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2104270 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Italy Collection · profit 587.36₸ · invest 404.09₸
Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New) instead of P250 | Facility Draft (Factory New); PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074045 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2108574 · The Anubis Collection + The Italy Collection · profit 551.93₸ · invest 680.71₸
sells slowly

AUG | Snake Pit (Factory New) instead of P250 | Facility Draft (Factory New); PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074592 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2130529 · The Harlequin Collection + The Italy Collection · profit 551.73₸ · invest 184.41₸
PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents (Factory New) instead of P250 | Facility Draft (Factory New); PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074809 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2103279 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Italy Collection · profit 546.16₸ · invest 554.03₸
Souvenir Sawed-Off | Parched (Factory New) instead of P250 | Facility Draft (Factory New); PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074307 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2110808 · The Ascent Collection + The Italy Collection · profit 524.51₸ · invest 183.87₸
P90 | Blue Tac (Factory New) instead of P250 | Facility Draft (Factory New); PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074809 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2112094 · The Boreal Collection + The Italy Collection · profit 519.22₸ · invest 182.00₸
M249 | Sage Camo (Factory New) instead of P250 | Facility Draft (Factory New); PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074809 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2106698 · The Achroma Collection + The Italy Collection · profit 505.44₸ · invest 180.13₸
SSG 08 | Sans Comic (Factory New) instead of P250 | Facility Draft (Factory New)
Craft 2132151 · The Italy Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 504.48₸ · invest 179.06₸
G3SG1 | Red Jasper (Factory New) instead of P250 | Facility Draft (Factory New); PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074960 instead of 0.074357

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Italy Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build