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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Train Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +60.37₴

Invest 236.23₴

Average return 296.60₴

ROI +25.6%

Chance of profit 60%

With float: invest at least 606.52 ₴, profit at most −309.92 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

204.81 ₴

at 22.76

Steam

×1

Sawed-Off | Amber Fade

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0060

31.42 ₴

at 31.42

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 236.23 ₴ +60.37 (+25.6%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 10%
About break-even 30%

in profit

best

AUG | Random Access

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

563.70 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.097999

269.63 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

295.69 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Tec-9 | Red Quartz

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

23.83 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Train Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Train Collection Variant 3 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Train Collection Variant 4 The Glove Collection instead of The Train Collection Variant 5 The Cache Collection instead of The Train Collection Variant 6 The Anubis Collection instead of The Train Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +12.96 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +51.44 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Train Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2102420 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit 60.27₴ · invest 270.87₴
SSG 08 | Slashed (Field-Tested) instead of Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076243 instead of 0.076934
Craft 2102631 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 59.96₴ · invest 236.63₴
Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Factory New)
Craft 2102344 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 58.27₴ · invest 243.94₴
XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.076934

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Train Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build