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The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Ancient Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Average profit +496.89₸

Invest 1 047.92₸

Average return 1 544.80₸

ROI +47.4%

Chance of profit 72%

With float: invest at least 2 512.22 ₸, profit at most −967.42 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

53.56 ₸

at 53.56

souvenirSteam

×6

Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1674

597.16 ₸

at 99.53

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0053

397.20 ₸

at 132.40

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 1 047.92 ₸ +496.89 (+47.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

107.12 ₸

at 53.56

souvenirSteam

×5

Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1668

497.63 ₸

at 99.53

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

397.20 ₸

at 132.40

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 1 001.95 ₸ +471.39 (+47.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

160.68 ₸

at 53.56

souvenirSteam

×4

Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1661

398.11 ₸

at 99.53

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

397.20 ₸

at 132.40

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 955.98 ₸ +445.89 (+46.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

214.23 ₸

at 53.56

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1653

298.58 ₸

at 99.53

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

397.20 ₸

at 132.40

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 910.01 ₸ +420.45 (+46.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

267.79 ₸

at 53.56

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1644

199.05 ₸

at 99.53

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

397.20 ₸

at 132.40

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 864.04 ₸ +394.95 (+45.7%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 70%
Losing outcome 28%
About break-even 2%

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Silver

Factory New

float up to 0.008615

953.04 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

G3SG1 | Ancient Ritual

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.081846

1 821.20 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Panther Camo

Factory New

float up to 0.053846

2 323.49 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

MP7 | Tall Grass

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 337.12 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

AUG | Spalted Wood

Factory New

float up to 0.051692

701.50 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

Five-SeveN | Withered Vine

Factory New

float up to 0.053846

1 558.86 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

M249 | Midnight Palm

Factory New

float up to 0.053846

662.10 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

about break-even

MP9 | Old Roots

Factory New

float up to 0.053846

1 225.32 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Ancient Collection

Variant 2 The Safehouse Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection Variant 3 The Rising Sun Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection Variant 4 only The Ancient Collection Variant 5 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Ancient Collection Variant 6 The Lake Collection instead of The Ancient Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +156.03 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +351.50 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Dust 2 Collection and The Ancient Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2105134 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Ancient Collection · profit 522.41₸ · invest 1 124.30₸
sells slowly

Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Framework (Field-Tested) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Minimal Wear); Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162876 instead of 0.167488; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.003919 instead of 0.005322
Craft 2107822 · The Ancient Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 519.10₸ · invest 1 076.68₸
sells slowly

Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Minimal Wear); Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168041 instead of 0.167488; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.005490 instead of 0.005322
Craft 2107654 · The Ancient Collection + The Havoc Collection · profit 499.92₸ · invest 1 280.38₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Tec-9 | Phoenix Chalk (Field-Tested) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Minimal Wear); Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162876 instead of 0.167488; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.003919 instead of 0.005322
Craft 2107194 · The Ancient Collection + The Anubis Collection · profit 470.64₸ · invest 1 014.14₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Souvenir M249 | Submerged (Field-Tested) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Minimal Wear); Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164519 instead of 0.167488; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.004418 instead of 0.005322

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Ancient Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

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How to build