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The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Horizon Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +463.32₽

Invest 5 970.18₽

Average return 6 433.50₽

ROI +7.8%

Chance of profit 53%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 14 634.64₽ · profit at most −8 201.14₽ (−56.0%) · chance of profit at most 0%

The estimate is made from the market at the time of the nightly check. Since then cheap listings with the needed float may have been bought or relisted. The «Check floats on Steam» button shows the current price.

The float window is very narrow: less than 30% of the wear range fits. The markup was not measured for such a case. The purchase will cost at least the stated number of times more. How much more is unknown, so the investment is shown as “at least” and the profit as “at most”.

Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade (Field-Tested) × 2 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 1 014.12 → 2 241.21 ₽

Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade (Factory New) × 6 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.51 4 801.80 → 12 052.52 ₽

Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) × 2 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 154.26 → 340.91 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −1 428 ₽

+ a third collection

How to build

5% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 5% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×2

Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1615

1 014.12 ₽

at 507.06

souvenirSteam

×6

Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

4 801.80 ₽

at 800.30

souvenirSteam

×2

Dual Berettas | Shred

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

154.26 ₽

at 77.13

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5 970.18 ₽ +463.32 (+7.8%)

profit on prices without sales at least −1 714 ₽

6% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 6% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×2

Nova | Quick Sand

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1648

1 123.40 ₽

at 561.70

Steam

×7

Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

5 602.10 ₽

at 800.30

souvenirSteam

×1

AUG | Amber Slipstream

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

44.55 ₽

at 44.55

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6 770.05 ₽ +391.49 (+5.8%)

profit on prices without sales at least −151 ₽

6% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 6% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×1

Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1632

507.06 ₽

at 507.06

souvenirSteam

×4

R8 Revolver | Survivalist

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

207.00 ₽

at 51.75

Steam

×5

Dual Berettas | Shred

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

385.65 ₽

at 77.13

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 099.71 ₽ +237.53 (+21.6%)

profit on prices without sales at least −379 ₽

5% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 5% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×2

Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1624

1 014.12 ₽

at 507.06

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

800.30 ₽

at 800.30

souvenirSteam

×7

Dual Berettas | Shred

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

539.91 ₽

at 77.13

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 354.33 ₽ +438.99 (+18.6%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 53%
Losing outcome 47%

in profit

best

M4A4 | Red DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.043749

16 154.40 ₽ 26.67%

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Case Hardened

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

3 058.54 ₽ 26.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Orange Anolis

Factory New

float up to 0.032374

8 006.10 ₽ 26.67%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

AWP | PAW

Factory New

float up to 0.043749

655.53 ₽ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

CZ75-Auto | Eco

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

546.76 ₽ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

G3SG1 | High Seas

Factory New

float up to 0.061249

731.29 ₽ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Powercore

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 000.00 ₽ 4.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Toy Soldier

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

569.34 ₽ 4.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Horizon Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection Variant 4 The Ascent Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 5 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 6 The Radiant Collection instead of The Horizon Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −651.35 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +689.29 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Dust 2 Collection and The Horizon Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 8 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2102948 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Ascent Collection · profit 584.87₽ · invest 1 609.88₽
rare inputs pricier variants exist

P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New) instead of Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade (Factory New), Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170239 instead of 0.161592
Craft 2103459 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 562.41₽ · invest 1 512.36₽
rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade (Factory New), Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168575 instead of 0.161592
Craft 2103007 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Boreal Collection · profit 552.97₽ · invest 1 265.96₽
rare inputs pricier variants exist

XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New) instead of Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade (Factory New), Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170239 instead of 0.161592
Craft 2103254 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 535.12₽ · invest 1 557.29₽
rare inputs pricier variants exist

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New) instead of Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade (Factory New), Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167563 instead of 0.161592
Craft 2103059 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit 534.24₽ · invest 2 004.12₽
profit on prices without salesat least −162 ₽ rare inputs pricier variants exist

Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161917 instead of 0.161592; Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade (Factory New): 1 pcs instead of 6; Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade (Factory New): float at most 0.003626 instead of 0.003528
Craft 2102847 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Achroma Collection · profit 473.75₽ · invest 1 529.88₽
rare inputs pricier variants exist

P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade (Factory New), Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170962 instead of 0.161592
Craft 2103080 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 456.57₽ · invest 5 882.46₽
profit on prices without salesat least −1 400 ₽ rare inputs pricier variants exist

SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161712 instead of 0.161592; Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade (Factory New): float at most 0.003564 instead of 0.003528
Craft 2103175 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 452.24₽ · invest 5 931.10₽
profit on prices without salesat least −1 404 ₽ rare inputs pricier variants exist

SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New); Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161834 instead of 0.161592; Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade (Factory New): float at most 0.003601 instead of 0.003528

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Horizon Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build